DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 24, 2015
President Barack Obama will arrive in Riyadh Tuesday, Jan. 27 with the First Lady, to offer US condolences on the death of King Abdullah and hold his first formal conference with Salman Bin Abdulaziz as King of Saudi Arabia. He must clear the air most urgently on Riyadh’s flat opposition to the multilateral nuclear deal taking shape with Iran; persuade Salman to slow oil production so as to curb plunging oil prices; and decide together how to handle Yemen’s fall into the hands of Shiite Houthi rebels backed by Iran.
Oil markets seek stability under new Saudi King Salman. A short price spurt followed Abdullah’s death
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis January 23, 2015
The new Saudi King Salman bin Abdulaziz pledged continuity for the kingdom’s oil and other policies in his first speech Friday, Jan. 23, following the death of his half-brother King Abdullah. The late king, a strong, shrewd and measured ruler, navigated the kingdom on a steady course in a turbulent neighborhood. He also made sure the succession would be smooth, swift and safe for the long term. Abdullah was also largely responsible for plunging oil prices by refusing to cut production. King Salman will have to stand up to heavy arm-twisting bythe US, Iran and Russia for ending this policy.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 22, 2014
The current military state of play in Iraq is being fought bizarrely on three more or less disconnected levels, debkafile reports. A combined Iraqi-Kurdish force captured Mt. Sinjar and, accompanied by US advisers, is poised to attack the northern town of Tal Afar, 50 km west of Mosul. ISIS has meanwhile focused on grabbing the oil regions of Syria and Iraq and renewed its siege of the Iraqi refinery town of Baiji, so pumping up its revenues from $2 to 2.5 billion, despite falling crude prices – and even dumping looted oil for $25-30 per barrel.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 4, 2014
Islamist entities not governed by international law are redrawing the map of the Middle East, swiftly gaining territory and oil.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 4, 2014
Without a strong army or allies, Iraq’s Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki is considering a retreat to the south and the creation of a Shiite state bolstered by Basra’s oilfields.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 25, 2014
The recent increase in Grad rocket fire on Ashkelon's coast is actually intended to hit the town’s oil port and the Trans-Israel oil pipeline linking it to Eilat, says debkafile. Islamic Jihad and Salafists in Gaza, working with Ansar Bayt al-Maqdis in Sinai, aim to sabotage the new independent Iraqi Kurdish route through Turkey and Israel and ensure that Iran and ISIS retain control of regional oil. With the first oil shipments coming through, Israel becomes a major conduit for Kurdish oil and an indirect player in the Iraqi war.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 22, 2014
The US, UAE and Egypt are backing Gen. Khalifa Haftar’s battle against militant Islamists in Libya, hoping to secure oilfields and target Ansar al-Sharia.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 1, 2014
Washington will let Egypt have Apaches but will keep a weather eye on strongman Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi whose plans may go a lot farther than counterterrorism to coveting Libyan oil.
DEBKAfile Special Report March 17, 2014
The US Navy took over Monday, March 17 a North Korean-flagged tanker carrying Libyan crude loaded from a rebel-hold port in eastern Libya. Washington said the tanker, seized in international waters off Cyprus, was a pirate or rogue vessel. President Obama ordered the operation to return the oil to the Libyan government. debkafile: Libya’s government is hardly stable and has not governed the eastern region since NATO overthrew Muammar Qaddafi nearly three years ago. Separatist militias there run a major world black markets for weapons.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 24, 2014
Palestinian Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas launched his “diplomatic intifada” against Israel Thursday, Jan. 23, from Moscow. In his talks with Vladimir Putin and Dmitry Medvedev, he marked the Palestinian breakaway from the Kerry peace process with Israel, four months before it was due to expire, and his bid for its replacement by Russian backing for a Palestinian state. Abbas’s defection caught both Secretary of State John Kerry and Prime Minister Binyamin - and their intelligence agencies – napping, busy in Switzerland far from the action.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 10, 2014
Al Qaeda in Iraq (ISIS) is eyeing Iraqi oil to produce funding for its jihad against the Shiite prime minister in Baghdad, like the revenue generated from its seizure of Syrian oilfields.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 23, 2013
Syrian rebel militias are falling apart and as they lose their foreign funding fight each other in a grab for Syria’s oil fields to replace lost revenue.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 25, 2013
The traditional special relationship is fading under Saudi mistrust of Obama’s intentions toward a potential insurgency against the throne, especially in the Shiite oil regions. Elements of good cooperation survive.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 27, 2012
Russia is ready to supply Iraqi Kurdistan with assault helicopters after Obama refused the KRG leader’s request for an air force. Moscow has acquired a stake in the oil of Kirkuk and accepts the Kurds’ need of an air force to protect it. Iraqi prime minister Maliki plands to counter the Kurds with a bid for $4.3 bn worth of Russian arms, including weapons for downing Kurdish helicopters.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 3, 2012
The US army is completed its planning for an Israeli war on Iran in October at the latest. Its tasks will be to destroy Iranian missiles geared for reprisals against US military sites and Israel, defend Saudi oil and keep the Strait of Hormuz open to oil traffic.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 19, 2012
Shiite unrest is bursting its bounds in the oil-rich Eastern Provinces of Saudi Arabia, dangerously close to the largest oil installations in the world. Tehran is signaling Riyadh that they can be disrupted by sabotage and not just by Iranian missiles.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 17, 2012
The fall of Damascus may be drawn-out, bloody and excruciating. It will also have wide regional repercussions, as debkafile shows in this exclusive video, because neither the Assad regime nor Iran will take it lying down.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 12, 2012
Vladimir Putin has seized on the Eurozone crisis to buy controlling shares in Greek and Cypriot oil and gas fields and infrastructure in return for bailing out their sinking economies. President Vladimir Putin had more than one fish to fry in dispatching a large flotilla of Russian warships to the eastern Mediterranean. They are on hand not just for the Syrian crisis but also to secure the hot new energy acquisitions about to fall in Moscow’s lap.
DEBKAfile Special Report July 12, 2012
As Russia and NATO boosted their military strength in the E. Mediterranean, debkafile reports the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower aircraft carrier and dozens of unmanned underwater craft for destroying mines are being rushed to the Persian Gulf. By August, five aircraft carriers will be on site - four American and one French. "If Iran starts spreading underwater mines in international waterways, i.e., the Strait of Hormuz, it will find American forces ready to dismantle them," said a Western military source.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 15, 2012
The Saudis offered Beijing $60 billion plus an oil bonanza for a single nuclear warhead. China has agreed in principle to sell the Saudis medium-range Dong-Feng 21 ballistic missiles in return for the cash and/or having its oil requirements for the next 23 years guaranteed by Riyadh. The deal was negotiated by Saudi National Security Adviser Prince Bandar bin Sultan and Chinese Defense Minister Liang Guanglie.