DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 31, 2014, 12:56 AM (GMT+02:00)
The US reverses its non-intervention policy for Syria and decides to arm three selected Syrian rebel militias to gain a foothold in Damascus and help defeat Hizballah on Mt. Qalamoun.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis January 20, 2014, 9:19 AM (GMT+02:00)
Israel’s security cabinet decided Sunday, Jan. 19, to end the issue of gas masks to the public next month, having concluded that "there has been a significant decline in the threat of chemical weapons being fired at Israel." debkafile: This decision is premature, coming as it has on the eve of the Geneva conference on Syria, and information that the Syrian and Iraqi branches of al Qaeda - and possibly Hizballah - have got hold of sarin nerve gas and the know-how for using it. Al Qaeda-Iraq says Israel's destruction is in store after Syria.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 3, 2014, 12:51 AM (GMT+02:00)
The freeze on Iran’s nuclear program, agreed in Geneva, is still in abeyance, and the destruction of Syria’s poison weapons stuck somewhere in limbo.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 13, 2013, 1:06 AM (GMT+02:00)
Al Qaeda pens its first operational blueprint for Israel’s destruction, planning to use its lack of strategic depth to attack the Jewish state from Syria and Iraq.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 8, 2013, 10:20 PM (GMT+02:00)
Chechen ruler Ramzan Kadyrov announced Monday, Dec. 4, the formation of a special unit to deal with “Syrian radicals” wiithin the North Caucasus republic and abroad. “Members…will be ready to interfere in the Syrian conflict if authorized by the Russian president.” Russian and Syrian intelligence fear al Qaeda in Syria is plotting a spectacular attack on the Sochi Winter Olympics in February, possibly using sarin, which US intelligence thinks al Qaeda has obtained. This was a prominent item in talks between Binyamin Netanyahu and Vladimir Putin in Moscow Nov. 20.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 8, 2013, 12:19 AM (GMT+02:00)
Assad spirited his main chemicals stock to safety out of Al Safira to secret hiding places. Obama dropped Geneva II and handing the conference on Syria’s future over to Putin.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 24, 2013, 11:31 PM (GMT+02:00)
The largest al Qaeda fighting concentration in the world is overrunning Syria, providing Bashar Assad for claiming support for his rule as the only figure capable of stemming the jihadi tide.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 11, 2013, 1:12 AM (GMT+02:00)
Riyadh has gone into action to sabotage US-Russian steps in Syria and US interests in Turkey and Egypt as acts of hostility against Obama administration policies.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 7, 2013, 10:20 AM (GMT+02:00)
Hizballah is surreptitiously withdrawing thousands of fighting men from Syria after an intervention for saving the Assad regime. debkafile: This withdrawal closes Tehran’s first successful experiment in fielding a surrogate force for determining the outcome of a war in an important strategic arena. Despite heavy losses, Hizballah comes out toughened by combat experience and seasoned in running regular military units in battle under combined Iranian-Syrian command. The Lebanese Shiites have won a tactical advantage over the IDF which has not faced real combat since 2006.
DEBKAfile Special Report September 29, 2013, 9:08 AM (GMT+02:00)
Western military sources predict an upsurge of tension this week along Israel’s borders with Syria and Lebanon, timed for Binyamin Netanyahu’s White House meeting with President Barack Obama Monday, Sept. 30, and his address to the UN General Assembly the next day, Oct. 1. Moscow, Tehran and Damascus may exploit Israel’s weak moment after being pushed out in the cold by the Obama administration’s pursuit of new relations with Tehran, by provoking Israel into a military response and presenting it as the neighborhood warmonger and disrupter of US-Russian diplomacy.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 25, 2013, 10:05 AM (GMT+02:00)
Iranian President Rouhani avoided shaking President Barack Obama's hand at the UN Tuesday, Sept. 24 – not to rebuff diplomacy with the US but to underscore Iran’s demand for respect as an equal. In secret contacts with Tehran, Obama had already agreed to Iran keeping its enriched uranium stocks. This and other concessions give US Secretary of State John Kerry a flying start for his mission to lead diplomacy with Iran, at the same time as the Israeli-Palestinian track. The US president’s linkage of the two places Israel at a disadvantage.
DEBKAfile Special Report September 20, 2013, 9:20 AM (GMT+02:00)
Russian leaders have picked apart the Kerry-Lavrov understanding for Syria’s chemical disarmament - less than a week after it was unveiled in Geneva. Thursday, Sept. 19, Vladimir Putin said he was not 100 percent certain the plan would succeed. His Defense minister Sergey Shoigu denied Russian plans to destroy Syria’s chemical stockpiles on its territory, while Bashar Assad mocked the option of their destruction in America. At the Security Council, Russia’s UN delegate blocked the measure for underpinning the deal, as Secretary of State John Kerry fought to retrieve it.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 19, 2013, 10:44 PM (GMT+02:00)
As the Kerry-Lavrov deal unravels and Obama’s Iran diplomacy progresses, Syria looks like keeping the bulk of its chemical weapons and Iran its nuclear program.
The Syrian helicopter flight over Turkey fabricated first Assad obstacle to chemical weapons handover
DEBKAfile Special Report September 17, 2013, 12:12 PM (GMT+02:00)
Bashar Assad’ sent a Syrian M-17 helicopter into Turkish air space Monday, Sept. 16, with deliberate intent. Ankara fell into the trap by sending the Turkish Air Force to down the intruder after it failed to heed several warnings, instead of chasing it back to Syria. The incident sent border tensions spiraling and gave Damascus and Moscow the pretext for backing out of the chemical weapons deal under the oversight of the Organizaton for the Prevention of Chemical Weapons, so long as the OPCW was headed by a Turkish official.
DEBKAfile Special Report September 15, 2013, 7:32 PM (GMT+02:00)
US President Barack Obama did not wait for the Kerry-Lavrov agreement of Saturday, Sept. 14, to demonstrate its feasibility for the eradication of Syria’s chemical weapons. He jumped in the next day to tell Tehran over ABC that “there’s the potential for diplomatic solutions to arms standoffs.” In Jerusalem, Secretary Kerry tried to defend the agreement against critics. Prime Minister Netanyahu insisted that diplomacy “must be coupled with a credible military threat." debkafile: The Obama administration won’t let Israel’s concerns slow its diplomatic momentum either on Syria or Iran.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 12, 2013, 11:53 PM (GMT+02:00)
DEBKA Weekly exclusively reveals the high points of the Obama-Putin-Iranian deal for Syria’s chemical weapons and its extrapolation for Iran’s nuclear program. While Obama agrees to starve the rebels of military support, he accepts massive Russian arms supplies to the Syrian army.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 12, 2013, 11:53 PM (GMT+02:00)
President Obama believes that the recipe for forcing Syrian ruler, Bashar Assad to relinquish his weapons of destruction will work just as well for Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, compelling him to give up the enriched uranium Tehran has accumulated for building a nuclear bomb.
DEBKAfile Special Report September 12, 2013, 10:52 PM (GMT+02:00)
debkafile: The Western military armada built up opposite Syria in the past two weeks is breaking up as the US president’s resolve for military action faded under relentless pressure from Moscow. The British and French ships headed out Wednesday, Sept. 11, through the Suez Canal, and the American warships pulled back to waters between Crete and Cyprus. Obama has thus caved in on his original intention to keep the war armada in place for heat on Assad to comply with the Russian plan for the elimination of his chemical weapons.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 11, 2013, 11:59 AM (GMT+02:00)
After Iranian president Hassan Rouhani made the UN Assembly the stage for resumed nuclear talks, the US began lifting sanctions. debkafile discloses a US-Russian-Iranian deal is already in the bag following three weeks of secret trilateral exchanges for an agreed formula for defusing the Syrian chemical weapons issue without military force to provide the key to progress in direct nuclear talks between the US and Iran. Details of the deals they struck will be revealed for the first time in the next issue of DEBKA Weekly out Friday, Sept. 13.
Obama promised Putin not to strike Syria after scrapping its chemical arsenal. Russian arms for Assad
DEBKAfile Special Report September 10, 2013, 10:20 PM (GMT+02:00)
President Barack Obama’s two climb-downs on a US strike against Syria are turning out to be part of a secret deal with Vladimir Putin, presented by the former as an accord for stripping Bashar Assad of his chemical arsenal, and used by the latter as an expedient for saving the Assad regime. Both were ready to sacrifice the Syrian rebel movement to their détente. But when Moscow insisted on pulling the teeth of a tough French-US-British draft resolution at the Security Council, the session scheduled for Tuesday was postponed indefinitely.