DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 22, 2015
The headlines claiming that the Russian and Israeli armies have agreed to establish a coordination center for their operations in Syria, run way past Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu’s disclosure, after his talks with President Vladimir Putin Monday, Sept. 21: He spoke of agreement on “a mechanism to prevent misunderstandings and clashes.” The gap reflects the absence of tangible plans for real coordination between the continuously-ramped up Russian forces in Syria and the IDF, because neither army means to level with the other in advance of its operations.
DEBKAfile Special Report September 21, 2015
As Binyamin Netanyahu heads to Moscow for critical talks with Vladimir Putin, the impending arrival of S-300 anti-aircraft missiles in Syria raises serious questions about Russia’s real intentions in the country. Israel faces dilemmas in dealing with this and other unexplained aspects of the Russian buildup. Netanyahu has taken the bold step of taking with him to the Kremlin IDF chief of staff Lt. Gen. Gady Eisenkot and the head of military intelligence, Maj. Gen. Hertzi Halevi. debkafile reports that Putin will be attended by his national security advisor, Nikolai Patrushev.
DEBKAfile Special Report September 16, 2015
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu will discuss with President Vladimir Putin in Moscow on Sept. 21 the continued Israeli Air Force freedom of action against threats coming from Syria. This would necessitate coordination between the Russian and Israeli air commands to avoid accidental collisions between their warplanes. A deal on these lines, tacitly agreed between Washington and Moscow, enables US air strikes against ISIS. But Israel faces more complex threats derving from the Iranian and Hizballah presence in Syria, on which Putin may dig in his heels.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 13, 2015
Weeks ago, President Vladimir discreetly offered Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu a deal for Moscow to undertake responsibility for guarding Israel’s Mediterranean gas fields against possible Iranian or Hizballah sabotage, along with Russian investment of $7-10 billion for developing Leviathan and building a pipeline to Turkey, debkafile reports. Netanyahu did not give him a clear answer. The Russian military buildup in Syria meanwhile radically alters Israel’s strategic landscape in respect of its posture on Syria, the gas fields’ vulnerability and foreign investment prospects for development.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 3, 2015
A new consortium is taking shape for building a Mediterranean gas pipeline linking Israel, Turkey Cyprus and possibly Italy. Gazprom has a good chance to take over investment and security.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 30, 2015
Egyptian President Abdel-Fatteh El-Sisi has begun supplying Bashar Assad’s army with weapons, including missiles, after concluding a secret deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin and his consent to pick up the tab, debkafile reveals. The first batch of short-range Egyptian-made surface missiles has reached the Syrian forces battling rebels over the strategic town of Zabadani. (See picture.) Ukrainian freighters are making the deliveries. The El-Sisi-Putin deal marks a certain parting of the ways between Moscow and Tehran on Syrian policy.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis August 29, 2015
Ongoing world power talks on ways to stop ISIS are stumped, as they move next week from Moscow to Washington. Vladimir Putin last week offered three worried Arab leaders nuclear reactors and other aid, but in plans for ending the Syrian war - on which they pinned high hopes – no silver bullet was found for stopping the inexorable Islamist advance. When Barack Obama meets Saudi King Salman in Washington next week, he will not find a customer to buy his reliance on Iran, which has failed to pull the anti-terror wagon out of the mud.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 27, 2015
While preparing for the first time to send Russian military forces to Syria to fight ISIS, Putin doesn’t forget the energy card. He offers Netanyahu a deal: Russian military protection for Israel’s Mediterranean gas fields in return for a stake in pipeline construction.
DEBKAfile Special Report August 18, 2015
Six Russian MiG-31 Foxhound interceptor aircraft from Moscow landed Tuesday, Aug. 18, at the Mezze Airbase in Damascus international airport, debkafile discloses. They were followed shortly after by giant An-124 Condor transports carrying 1,000 Kornet-9M133 third-generation anti-tank guided missiles. This airlift to Damascus betokens Moscow’s continued support for the Syrian ruler against peace plans currently afloat which all entail his removal, and is a move to block US-Turkish plans for a no-fly zone over Syria or any other direct intervention.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 13, 2015
The US, Russia and Iran combine to launch a new Middle East venture for resolving current conflicts in ways that are expedient to all three. The Saudis prefer their own path and choices.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 6, 2015
The US, Russia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the Gulf have lined up to fight ISIS, after each gives up on primary issues. Bashar Assad stays, by common consent, and the Houthis lose the Yemen war.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 6, 2015
The Nusra Front’s defeat of a CIA-trained rebel force under the command of Natim al-Hassan may deepen US intervention in the Syrian conflict.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 9, 2015
Under a secret deal with Obama, Putin has cornered the Middle East nuclear market and signed contracts to supply reactors and other facilities to Saudi Arabia, Iran, Egypt, Jordan and the UAE. Fordo will become a research center.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 2, 2015
It has always been dangerous to predict Bashar Assad’s downfall, even now after his army and Hizballah have experienced grave military reverses. The US-backed rebels in the south are not doing too well either.
Turkey and Jordan said preparing buffer zones inside Syria. Israeli air support mooted. Putin issues warning
DEBKAfile Special Report June 30, 2015
Turkish and Jordanian armies were reported on June 30 to be getting ready to cross into Syria and set up security buffer zones – to fight ISIS, oppose the Assad regime and stem the never-ending flow of refugees. It is not clear if they are coordinated. Turkey has prepared 18,000 troops for the operation. Its air force is to impose a no-fly zone against Syrian flights. The Jordanian army is also on the ready to go in and said to be seeking Israel’s air force participation for air cover and a parallel no-fly zone in the south.
Riyadh Turns to Moscow, Far East to Attain Self-Controlled Nuclear Fuel Cycle & Military Self-Sufficiency
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 25, 2015
Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s deal with Putin aimed at providing Saudi Arabia with a self-controlled nuclear weapons program and self-sufficiency in weapons.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 18, 2015
Saudi King Salman is not sure that the US will last the course in their joint effort to topple Bashar Assad. He sent his son to Moscow with generous incentives for Putin to provide him with a safety net.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 17, 2015
The US Delta Special Operations raid that killed ISIS oil chief Abu Sayyaf Saturday, May 16, could not have taken place without prior US coordination with Damascus and Moscow. debkafile: Washington’s denial of coordination did not preclude a prior notice to Moscow, which then passed it on to Damascus. The operation therefore fixed another Middle East landmark: The US, Russia and the Assad regime pulled together for the first time against the Islamic State, for an operation that was more extensive than reported. Not one, but five top ISIS commanders, were killed
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 14, 2015
Obama sought out Putin to approve a no-fly zone in Syria to meet the Gulf’s demands for Assad’s head as proof that he his promise to defend GCC members security was on the level.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 30, 2015
Heavy influx of US arms and Saudi cash is bringing the Syrian opposition, including the Islamist Nusra front, victories against Assad’s army. Assad has asked Tehran for new guarantees for his presidency.