DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 13, 2010
The Palestinians believe they can use international misfortunes to fast-forward their national goals. They watch US President Barack Obama and Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu grappling with political woes and the European Union in a life-and-death struggle to save the euro and at least five economies from falling off a cliff edge. Seeing a big chance for gain, Palestinian lead negotiator Saeb Erekat has produced the astonishing new figure of 7 million refugees whom Israel must accept.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 9, 2010
Moscow has not only accepted the West's conviction that Iran is aiming for a nuclear bomb, but is ready for the ultimate penalty of an air and sea blockade against Tehran. Washington is looking behind Russia's change of face for ulterior motives.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 2, 2010
French President Nicolas Sarkozy has quietly warned that North Korea is using its crisis with the South to cover up its planned transfer to Iran of nuclear weapons systems parts and extra-fast centrifuges for uranium enrichment that could help Tehran go into bomb production in the first half of 2011, debkafile's sources report. He has asked pro-Western Persian Gulf leaders to try and persuade President Barack Obama to take strong military action against North Korea to abort delilvery.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 23, 2010
Washington rebuffed Japanese pressure for joint military action in retaliation for the North Korea's Nov. 23 artillery attack on the South Korean island of Yeonpyeong – or even build up its fighting forces on the peninsula – if only to deter more attacks. Two South Korean marines were killed and 17 soldiers and 3 civilians injured as the island's buildings went up in flames. Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan's demand for an urgent UN Security Council session was also spurned.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 19, 2010
Prime Minister Vladimir Putin and President Dmitry Medvedev were persuaded by the betrayal of 10 Russian sleeper agents in America and the capture of the Russian arms trafficker Viktor Bout that the time had come to reform Russia's spy agencies.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 14, 2010
The package Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has accepted for US-sponsored talks with the Palestinians contains more substantial concessions than merely a freeze on settlement construction and goes far beyond the deal put before the security cabinet Saturday night, Nov. 13, debkafile reports from Jerusalem and Washington. The deal unveiled in Jerusalem early Sunday is only stage one of a larger secret package to which only Netanyahu and his close adviser Yithzak Molho are privy.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 12, 2010
The Israeli prime minister is keeping under his hat a series of secret negotiations in Amman, Jordan, at which dramatic progress has been made in five key areas of contention with the Palestinians. The key to one problem would be the deployment of Jordanian troops on the Jordan River's west bank.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 2, 2010
Direct Israeli-Palestinian talks, interrupted in September after less than a week, will resume in January, 2011 following a quiet deal between the US, Israel, Egypt and Saudi Arabia, debkafile's sources disclose. Obama administration officials are upbeat after four new developments unsnarled the gridlock. Most significantly, Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu agreed to a second, partial settlement building freeze and Mahmoud Abbas to drop a bid for UN recognition of unilateral statehood.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 31, 2010
Yemeni president Abdullah Ali Saleh refused Saturday night, Oct. 30, to allow Washington to land US special forces in Al Gouf, 140 kilometers south of Sanaa the capital, DEBKA counter-terror sources reveal. Based there, according to US and Saudi intelligence, is Ibrahim Hassan Al Asiri, the Saudi who masterminded the al Qaeda (AQAP) plot to plant explosive packages aboard cargo flights bound for the United States. There too is Al Qaeda's main fighting base in Yemen with a network of terror planners and bomb makers.
DEBKAfile Special Report October 30, 2010
A broadening multinational investigation seeks to probe the scale of the al Qaeda air freight plot causing mayhem in the international cargo freight system on the assumption that the threat is still viable. Yemen, to which two explosive parcels bound for Chicago synagogues were traced, itself seized more than 30 suspect parcels. Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh claims to have arrested a woman in Sanaa suspected of sending the explosive packages. debkafile's sources question his ability to challenge al Qaeda's infrastructure.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 7, 2010
US diplomat Fred Hof is due in Beirut Thursday, Oct. 7, to try and get Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's visit to Lebanon cancelled. debkafile's sources say he is too late. With six days to go, Beirut and South Lebanon up to the Israeli border are Ahmadinejad-land, taken over by an estimated 2,500 airlifted Revolutionary Guardsmen and covered in Iranian flags.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 23, 2010
At a secret meeting in Jeddah, top US and Saudi officials discussed a plan to airlift al Qaeda out of Afghanistan in order to free Taliban leader Mullah Omar to negotiate an end to the war and partial restoration of Taliban rule.
For now, there is no sign that Taliban wants any part of it.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 16, 2010
Tony Blair has carved out for himself a role at Barack Obama's right hand and, uniquely for a non-American politician, climbed astonishingly to the top of the White House team of policy-makers, especially on the Middle East and Iran. His popularity in Washington is matched inversely by his falling stakes at home and in Europe.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 6, 2010
Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman was accused of breaking ranks with Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu's drive for a peace accord after he remarked Sunday, Sept. 5, that an Israeli-Palestinian peace would not come this year or even in the next generation. debkafile's sources disclose that Lieberman's words were adjusted to his discovery that Barack Obama expected no more of direct talks than an interim, long-term framework with vague, non-binding references to the core issues.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 5, 2010
The Obama administration has sent Syrian president Bashar Assad a stern warning that he will be held personally accountable and face consequences if Israel and the Palestinian Authority are subjected to a terror campaign - whether by Hizballah or the Palestinian extremist groups based in Damascus, debkafile reports from Washington. The warning went out Thursday, Sept. 2, as Israelis and Palestinians sat down to talk in Washington after two attacks.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 2, 2010
While most of the equipment goes through the US emergency depot in Kuwait and transferred to Afghanistan as needed, some key items went to the Israeli Defense Forces, including light armored combat vehicles, command vehicles, light and heavy trucks, fuel tankers, all-terrain vehicles, communications vehicles and ambulances .
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 1, 2010
Western intelligence sources report that on August 30, Hizballah put its forces on a state of war alert and issued a partial call-up of reservists, apparently in preparation for a major attack on Israel in response to Israeli-Palestinian peace talks in Washington or during the Jewish New Year festival starting on Sept. 8. Iranian pressure for an attack has intensified in the wake of the Palestinian Hamas's drive-by murder of four Israeli civilians on a road near Hebron gave Tuesday night Aug. 31.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 26, 2010
The phone call between Saudi King Abdullah and President Barack Obama ended in a falling-out on almost all US Middle East policies. Abudllah sees Obama as blinding hiself to an Iranian-Russian trap.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis August 21, 2010
The extraordinary meekness with which the US and Israel greeted Russia's start-up of Iran's first nuclear reactor is accounted for, debkafile reports, by a secret Washington-Moscow deal whereby Russia voted with the US for UN sanctions against Iran in return for which Washington and Jerusalem tacitly assented to the activation of the Iranian reactor. Will Israel's acquiescence extend to deals with the Palestinians?