DEBKAfile DEBKA-Net-Weekly February 8, 2011, 1:00 PM (GMT+02:00)
Who moves into the presidential palace when (date unknown) Hosni Mubarak leaves? Washington's preferred candidate is not Omar Suleiman. DEBKA-Net-Weekly, in its coming issue Friday, surveys the field, none of which offers guarantees against violent upsets down the road. Is there a deal between the regime and the army? Maybe the incumbents are settling in to stay, sparing a few crumbs to keep the opposition quiescent. Are there any other options?
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DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 2, 2011, 11:16 PM (GMT+02:00)
Wednesday, Feb. 2, President Barack Obama delivered an ultimatum to Egyptian Vice President Omar Suleiman and the army and security chiefs: Remove Mubarak in the coming hours or else US aid to Egypt will be cut off, debkafile reports exclusively from Washington. The White House said: "Transition must begin now." The first violent collision between pro- and anti-Mubarak activists in Cairo left 30 dead, 2000 injured, and threatens more civil bloodshed. The last Israelis were evacuated from Egypt, including news correspondents.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis January 29, 2011, 11:56 PM (GMT+02:00)
Egypt, one of the only two Arab states to sign peace with Israel, is wobbling dangerously on the brink of revolutionary change. This week, Israel was dismayed to find itself looking suddenly at three latently hostile fronts about to spring up around its borders: After Lebanon was dropped into the Iranian orbit, Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood gained altitude, and Hamas, its Palestinian offshoot in Gaza, is making hay, puffing itself up as an important new Middle East player.
DEBKAfile Special Report January 27, 2011, 10:15 AM (GMT+02:00)
Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak has sent his defense minister Field Marshal Mohamed Hussein Tantawi in secret to Washington to ask for US backing for his embattled regime against the street protest movement which gained in violence on its second day, Wednesday, Jan. 26. debkafile's Washington sources report that in secret meetings, Tantawi warned top US officials that without a crackdown on the protesters, the regime was doomed. The Egyptian army is on emergency standby.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 18, 2011, 2:20 PM (GMT+02:00)
Iran has blocked thousands of fuel trucks from crossing into Afghanistan as its initial reprisal for US fuel sanctions and the reported US-Israeli partnership in activating the Stuxnet virus against its nuclear program, debkafile's sources report. More Iranian retribution is ahead. The fuel shortage and insurgent attacks on fuel convoys coming in from Pakistan are showing their mark on the war effort.
(The coming DEBKA-Net-Weekly out next Friday deals with Iranian-Taliban collusion in Afghanistan. To subscribe, click here)
DEBKAfile Special Report January 16, 2011, 10:06 PM (GMT+02:00)
Hizballah's Hassan Nasrallah, in his first speech on the Lebanese crisis, said Sunday night, Jan. 16 that the "opposition-resistance" camp would form a government without Said Hariri, the prime minister he toppled last week, and "exercise its own national convictions." debkafile: Hizballah's determination to finish the pro-Western Hariri for good is backed by the Syrian president as a means of derailing Obama administration goals for Lebanon.
DEBKAfile DEBKA-Net-Weekly January 11, 2011, 11:37 AM (GMT+02:00)
In its coming issue out next Friday, DEBKA-Net-Weekly looks behind the unsolved murder of former high-ranking US White House official John Wheeler, especially at the suspicion that its motive may have been tied to the active interest he was showing in cyber warfare - or even Iran's reprisal for Stuxnet and its murdered nuclear scientists.
DEBKAfile DEBKA-Net-Weekly December 28, 2010, 12:03 PM (GMT+02:00)
The hanging of Ali Akbar Siadati as a Mossad spy in Tehran Tuesday, Dec, 28 offered a glimpse of the brutal war waged between the CIA and Mossad, on the one hand, and Iran's clandestine agencies, on the other. It comes to the public attention only rarely, when exploits like the Stuxnet malworm invasion and violent deaths of top Iranian nuclear scientists indicate Western agencies have the upper hand.
But this murky contest has its ups and downs, as DEBKA-Net-Weekly's exclusive intelligence sources reveal in its latest issue out last Friday.
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DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 23, 2010, 11:25 PM (GMT+02:00)
Tehran has developed four systems for beating sanctions, including hawala, smuggling, recruiting ex-pats and big power help – except for the hard-hitting fuel penalties which bite deep. Certain that the next round of nuclear talks with the world powers will fail, Iran imposed austerity measures to build itself a ...
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 23, 2010, 11:25 PM (GMT+02:00)
While offering Washington its good services,Turkey is taking advantage of US trust to deepen its ties with Iran, its superpower status for the Muslim world and its plans for a new anti-American Muslim bloc.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis December 13, 2010, 7:03 PM (GMT+02:00)
Nuclear Energy Commission Director Ali Akhbar Salehi was appointed Iran's new foreign minister Monday, Dec. 13 – while renewed nuclear diplomacy was in midstream - to make sure the Six World Powers understood that Tehran was determined to go full speed ahead with its nuclear weapon program and would give no quarter in its drive to evict US influence from the Middle East and Arab world. Manoucher Mottaki learned he had been dropped while on an official tour of Africa.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 13, 2010, 3:18 PM (GMT+02:00)
The Palestinians believe they can use international misfortunes to fast-forward their national goals. They watch US President Barack Obama and Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu grappling with political woes and the European Union in a life-and-death struggle to save the euro and at least five economies from falling off a cliff edge. Seeing a big chance for gain, Palestinian lead negotiator Saeb Erekat has produced the astonishing new figure of 7 million refugees whom Israel must accept.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 9, 2010, 11:03 PM (GMT+02:00)
Moscow has not only accepted the West's conviction that Iran is aiming for a nuclear bomb, but is ready for the ultimate penalty of an air and sea blockade against Tehran. Washington is looking behind Russia's change of face for ulterior motives.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 2, 2010, 9:43 AM (GMT+02:00)
French President Nicolas Sarkozy has quietly warned that North Korea is using its crisis with the South to cover up its planned transfer to Iran of nuclear weapons systems parts and extra-fast centrifuges for uranium enrichment that could help Tehran go into bomb production in the first half of 2011, debkafile's sources report. He has asked pro-Western Persian Gulf leaders to try and persuade President Barack Obama to take strong military action against North Korea to abort delilvery.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 23, 2010, 8:11 PM (GMT+02:00)
Washington rebuffed Japanese pressure for joint military action in retaliation for the North Korea's Nov. 23 artillery attack on the South Korean island of Yeonpyeong – or even build up its fighting forces on the peninsula – if only to deter more attacks. Two South Korean marines were killed and 17 soldiers and 3 civilians injured as the island's buildings went up in flames. Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan's demand for an urgent UN Security Council session was also spurned.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 19, 2010, 12:38 AM (GMT+02:00)
Prime Minister Vladimir Putin and President Dmitry Medvedev were persuaded by the betrayal of 10 Russian sleeper agents in America and the capture of the Russian arms trafficker Viktor Bout that the time had come to reform Russia's spy agencies.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 14, 2010, 10:16 PM (GMT+02:00)
The package Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has accepted for US-sponsored talks with the Palestinians contains more substantial concessions than merely a freeze on settlement construction and goes far beyond the deal put before the security cabinet Saturday night, Nov. 13, debkafile reports from Jerusalem and Washington. The deal unveiled in Jerusalem early Sunday is only stage one of a larger secret package to which only Netanyahu and his close adviser Yithzak Molho are privy.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 12, 2010, 12:22 AM (GMT+02:00)
The Israeli prime minister is keeping under his hat a series of secret negotiations in Amman, Jordan, at which dramatic progress has been made in five key areas of contention with the Palestinians. The key to one problem would be the deployment of Jordanian troops on the Jordan River's ...
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 2, 2010, 2:17 PM (GMT+02:00)
Direct Israeli-Palestinian talks, interrupted in September after less than a week, will resume in January, 2011 following a quiet deal between the US, Israel, Egypt and Saudi Arabia, debkafile's sources disclose. Obama administration officials are upbeat after four new developments unsnarled the gridlock. Most significantly, Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu agreed to a second, partial settlement building freeze and Mahmoud Abbas to drop a bid for UN recognition of unilateral statehood.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 31, 2010, 12:13 AM (GMT+02:00)
Yemeni president Abdullah Ali Saleh refused Saturday night, Oct. 30, to allow Washington to land US special forces in Al Gouf, 140 kilometers south of Sanaa the capital, DEBKA counter-terror sources reveal. Based there, according to US and Saudi intelligence, is Ibrahim Hassan Al Asiri, the Saudi who masterminded the al Qaeda (AQAP) plot to plant explosive packages aboard cargo flights bound for the United States. There too is Al Qaeda's main fighting base in Yemen with a network of terror planners and bomb makers.