DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 5, 2010
The Turkish army, NATO's second largest, is showing little fight against the pro-Muslim Erdogan government's mass arrests of top military chiefs, past and present. Washington and Brussels ask which way it will jump in a war involving Iran.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 28, 2010
Turkish prime minister Tayyip Recep Erdogan has engineered a fresh assault on the already crisis-laden relationship between
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 19, 2009
Tuesday, Oct.13, Syrian defense minister Gen. Ali Habib made the triumphant announcement: We held our first joint land military exercise (with Turkey) last spring. And today we have agreed to do a more comprehensive, a bigger one. He spoke at a ceremony declaring a free trade zone between the two countries and opening their borders for the passage of their citizens without visas. Present were the two foreign ministers, Ahmed Davutoglu and Walid Mualem.
The next day, Today's Zaman provided Ankara's explanation for its last-minute decision to cancel Israeli participation in the annual multiple air maneuver with NATO under the caption: Delay in delivery of Herons behind drill crisis, not politics.
debkafile's Ankara sources stress that foreign minister Davutoglu is steering the Turkish government and army toward a broad new horizon after persuading Erdogan that the way to restoring Turkey to the regional primacy enjoyed by the Ottoman empire depended on its assuming leadership and mediation roles in the Middle East and Muslim world.
Erdogan is not deterred by every single Turkish mediation effort running aground, a fact which his hostility to Israel is designed to mask.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 16, 2009
debkafile's military sources reveal that Turkish prime minister Tayyep Recep Erdogan and Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad struck military cooperation deals on Oct. 28 which assured Iran of Turkish military intelligence and air force assistance against a possible Israeli attack on its nuclear sites. Also promised was Turkish surveillance of US military movements for providing Israel with back-up.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 18, 2009
Turkey's Today's Zaman Wednesday, Oct. 14, provided a new motive for Ankara's last-minute decision to cancel Israeli participation in the annual multiple air maneuver with NATO: A senior Turkish military source was quoted as saying: "Israel has failed yet again to deliver the Israeli-made surveillance drones known as Herons to Turkey."
debkafile's Special Analysis below points to the real reason for the Erdogan government's anti-Israel policy, and the destructive fallout from the Netanyahu government's tame response.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 4, 2009
Israeli defense minister Ehud Barak commented Monday, April 27, that Turkey's decision to hold military maneuvers with Syria is "disturbing."
And that is not all. The exercise will be accompanied Monday or Tuesday by the signing of a letter of intent for Turkish-Syrian cooperation in the defense industry.
debkafile's military sources report the two events mark the shrinkage of Turkey's military and trading ties with Israel.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 3, 2009
Turkey's army chief Gen. Ilker Basburg brushed off the Israeli defense minister Ehud Barak's comment that the joint Turkish-Syrian military exercise was "disturbing."
Barak referred to the first exercise Turkey, Israel's longstanding military ally and NATO member, had ever staged with an Arab nation, Israel's avowed foe Syria. Gen. Basbug said it was only a border exercise, small-scale and "none of anybody's business."
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 4, 2009
DEBKA-Net-Weekly analysts examine the options facing Turkey as its estrangement from the US and Europe solidifies: Will this NATO member turn to Russia and the Caucasus, the Arab world or Iran?
This and other exclusives appeared in the latest issue out Friday.
To subscribe to DEBKA-Net-Weekly click DEBKA-Net-Weekly.com?ref=001">HERE.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 14, 2009
A deep crisis in Turkish-Israel relations appears to be the first strategic casualty of Israel's offensive to suppress Hamas' rocket campaign. debkafile's Ankara sources report that Turkish prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan is seriously planning to freeze the long-standing military ties between the US's foremost defense allies in the Middle East and call off forthcoming joint maneuvers. If his hostility toward Israel persists, it will have far-reaching fallout for American Middle East policies and Israel's defense position in the region.
And there is no sign of him relenting; just the reverse.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 1, 2009
At the World Economic Forum in Davos, Turkish prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan Thursday, Jan. 29, reproached Israeli president Shimon Peres over the Gaza offensive, saying "You kill people."
Israeli president Shimon Peres said, raising his voice, Israel's 22-day offensive was launched in reaction to eight years of rocket fire. Turning to Erdogan, he asked: What you would do if rockets landed on Istanbul every night?
The Israeli leader later called the Turkish premier and they agreed that incident would not affect relations between their countries.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 30, 2008
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 3, 2008
Russian foreign minister Sergey Lavrov arrived in Istanbul Tuesday, Sept. 2, to hear his Turkish counterpart Ali Babacan present Ankara's regional Caucasus cooperation plan for stabilizing the region in the wake of the Georgian crisis.
Turkish prime minister Tayyep Erdogan is trying to strike a neutral posture between the US and Russia over the Georgia crisis.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 10, 2008
The intense exchanges afoot between Ankara, Damascus and Tehran in recent months burst into the open Tuesday, Aug.5 at the south Turkish Aegean resort town of Bodrum, when Turkish prime minister Tayyip Erdogan entertained Syrian president Bashar Assad and a large party of notables. This is revealed by debkafile's Middle East sources.
Assad came fresh from his triumphant talks in Tehran three days earlier. The two leaders' Aegean lunch was followed on cue by Tehran's announcement that Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad would visit Ankara for talks with president Abdullah Gul on August 14.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 11, 2008
Three Turkish policemen and three gunmen died in a shootout at the entrance to the US consulate in Istanbul Wednesday, July 9. Three terrorists, identified by Istanbul police as Turkish members of al Qaeda, were killed after failing to break through to the consulate. Two policemen were killed on the spot, two more were gravely wounded and one died of his wounds.
In a separate attack, Kurdish rebel gunmen abducted three German tourists in E. Turkey.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 1, 2008
A unanimous decision was taken Monday, March 31, by Turkey's constitutional court to hear a case for closing down the governing AKP party for actions to weaken the country's secular system. The chief prosecutor moved for prime minister Tayyep Erdogan and President Abdullah Gul to be banned from politics. They and 69 party officials have a month to prepare their defense in a case which bringsTurkey's secularist establishment and the ruling Muslim-rooted party to the point of showdown.
Their amendment of the constitution to permit girls at universities to wear headscarves is part of a 162-page case which accuses the government of an "Islamic agenda."
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 2, 2008
Ankara responded Friday, Feb. 29, to President George Bush's demand to end its ground operation against the PKK rebels holed up in northern Iraq.
Our political sources note that Ankara's surrender to Washington will strengthen the opposition in Israel's government and military command to a large-scale anti-missile military operation in the Gaza Strip for which the public is clamoring.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 29, 2008
Wednesday, Feb. 27, US defense secretary Robert Gates said he measures the time-limit on the Turkish operation in "days, or a week or two, something like that, Not months."
debkafile's military sources reported the army was still tens of kilometers away from the PKK's main Qandil Mountain bases some 60 km south of the border which are claimed to be springboards for terrorist attacks in Turkey.
The latest DEBKA-Net-Weekly, out on Friday, analyzes the tactical aspects and pitfalls of the Turkish-PKK operation in depth.
To subscribe to DEBKA-Net-Weekly click DEBKA-Net-Weekly.com?ref=001">HERE.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 27, 2008
The battles Mon. Feb. 25, four days after the Turkish ground incusion into Iraqi Kurdistan center on Hakurk, 20 km south of the Turkish border. The Turkish military reports 112 PKK Kurdish Party rebels killed and the loss of 25 soldiers. The PKK claims to have killed 27 soldiers after downing a Turkish Cobra Sunday.
Sunday, Iran stepped up security on its border with Iraqi Kurdistan.
debkafile's military sources report that between 1,000 and 3,000 ground troops entered Iraqi Kurdistan last week for their sixth incursion in 13 years to in pursuit of the roughly 3,000 separatists using northern Iraq as a base for attacks inside Turkey.
<span class="debka">debka</span><span class="file">file</span>: 10,000 Turkish troops cross into N. Iraq to hunt down PKK rebels
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 24, 2008
The land offensive early Friday, Feb. 22, was backed by with large armored forces, fighter jets and helicopters. The Turkish military said its troops would return home as soon as its goals of destroying rebel bases inside Iraqi Kurdistan were achieved. debkafile's military sources add: The question now is: Will the Iraqi Kurdish peshmerga put up resistance to the Turkish incursion?
<span class="debka">debka</span><span class="file">file</span> Exclusive: Israel may sell Turkey an Ofek spy satellite in a $300m deal<br/>
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 20, 2008
Our military sources disclose that, contrary to the public statements made by the Israeli defense minister in Ankara and prime minister Ehud Olmert in Berlin, arms transactions were the key topic of their talks in the two capitals Tuesday, Feb. 11. Israel has ordered from Germany 3 more Dolphin submarines to double its navy's fleet of this type of sub which, according to foreign sources, is capable of carrying nuclear-tipped cruise missiles.