DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 2, 2015
It has always been dangerous to predict Bashar Assad’s downfall, even now after his army and Hizballah have experienced grave military reverses. The US-backed rebels in the south are not doing too well either.
Turkey and Jordan said preparing buffer zones inside Syria. Israeli air support mooted. Putin issues warning
DEBKAfile Special Report June 30, 2015
Turkish and Jordanian armies were reported on June 30 to be getting ready to cross into Syria and set up security buffer zones – to fight ISIS, oppose the Assad regime and stem the never-ending flow of refugees. It is not clear if they are coordinated. Turkey has prepared 18,000 troops for the operation. Its air force is to impose a no-fly zone against Syrian flights. The Jordanian army is also on the ready to go in and said to be seeking Israel’s air force participation for air cover and a parallel no-fly zone in the south.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 2, 2015
Iran displayed exceptional cyber war skills by blacking out most of Turkey’s cities for twelve hours to punish Turkey for his policy shift towards the Saudi-led Sunni coalition.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 5, 2015
The Turkish and Pakistani prime ministers have worked on details of nuclear-sharing and military collaboration among the three Sunni powers initiated by Saudi King Salman to counter Iran’s drive for Shiite domination.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 26, 2015
Egypt and Israel are left out on a limb by the Saudi king Salman’s defection to supporting the Muslim Brotherhood and dialogue with Ankara, rather than helping Cairo to stand up to the new ISIS threat from next-door Libya and backing Egypt and Israel against Iran.
DEBKAfile Special Report December 8, 2014
US military sources revealed Monday, Dec. 8, that Israel’s air strikes near Damascus the day before wiped out Russian hardware including missiles dispatched post haste to help Syria and Hizballah frustrate a US no-fly zone plan for northern Syria. The Kremlin has warned that any no-fly zone over Syria would be treated as direct US intervention in the Syria war, and incur Russian military intervention. The advanced anti-air missiles and radar Moscow sent Syria and Hizballah to back up this warning were destroyed by Israel. Damascus threatens Israel with “unimaginable harm.”
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 12, 2014
The Obama strategy has drawn criticism for investing too little to achieve a short, sharp campaign to eradicate ISIS. Regional governments have too few troops to spare.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 12, 2014
Turkey stuns Washington by dropping out of the US-led coalition, refusing to fight jihadis or let its bases be used for air strikes.
Grave setbacks for Obama’s strategy: Turkey backs out of US-led war on IS. Germany, UK say no to air campaign
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 11, 2014
Turkey inflicted a stunning blow Thursday, Sept. 11 at President Barack Obama’s strategy for a broad US-led coalition for tackling and defeating the Islamic State, and the potential 11-member group which US Secretary of State John Kerry established in Jeddah that day. Ankara said its air bases would be unavailable for US-led attacks on “jihadists in Iraq and Syria.” Turkey would also “not take part in combat operations against militants.” This knocked out one of the props from under the Obama plan. The UK and Germany also said no to air strikes in Syria..
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 4, 2014
Kurdish President Masoud Barzani announces a referendum on independence, edged on by US, Israel and Turkey.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 25, 2014
The recent increase in Grad rocket fire on Ashkelon's coast is actually intended to hit the town’s oil port and the Trans-Israel oil pipeline linking it to Eilat, says debkafile. Islamic Jihad and Salafists in Gaza, working with Ansar Bayt al-Maqdis in Sinai, aim to sabotage the new independent Iraqi Kurdish route through Turkey and Israel and ensure that Iran and ISIS retain control of regional oil. With the first oil shipments coming through, Israel becomes a major conduit for Kurdish oil and an indirect player in the Iraqi war.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 5, 2014
The US attempted to forge a new bloc of Turkey, Qatar, Hamas and the Muslim Brotherhood to counterbalance Iranian power, but Morsi’s ouster as Egyptian president put an end to the short-lived alliance.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 22, 2014
The US begins setting up a database to track foreign Islamists’ movements in Syria and Iraq without Turkish cooperation, but Al Qaeda’s tactics make it a difficult task.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 7, 2014
Two Syrian rebel militias judged moderate in Washington have in the last few days taken delivery and begun using the first advanced US weapon to be deployed in more than three years of civil war, debkafile reveals. It is the heavy anti-tank, optically-tracked, wire-guided BGM-71 TOW.
Syrian rebels allowed to attack Latakia from Turkish soil under Turkish air cover. Iran raises Cain in Ankara
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 29, 2014
Turkey has ratcheted up its intervention in the Syrian war to an unprecedented level, debkafile reports exclusively. For the first time in the three-year conflict, Turkey is giving Syrian rebel forces, including the Al-Qaeda-affiliated Nusra Front, passage through its territory to attack the northwestern Syrian coastal area around Latakia, the Assad clan’s birthplace. But if the rebels are thrown back, will the Turkish army come to their aid? If so, it would be Ankara’s first outright military incursion into Syria and NATO’s first intrusion in its civil war.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 10, 2014
The thaw in Turkish-Iranian relations is producing a joint effort to snatch the Syrian opposition from the US and Saudi Arabia, while also circumventing the US-Russian takeover of Geneva 2.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 8, 2013
Turkish-Iranian intelligence cooperation has produced an operation against Syria rebel supplies through Turkey. Tehran wants to redirect Turkish exports from its Israeli route back to Syria, and use the Turkish route to promote Iranian products in Europe.
The Syrian helicopter flight over Turkey fabricated first Assad obstacle to chemical weapons handover
DEBKAfile Special Report September 17, 2013
Bashar Assad’ sent a Syrian M-17 helicopter into Turkish air space Monday, Sept. 16, with deliberate intent. Ankara fell into the trap by sending the Turkish Air Force to down the intruder after it failed to heed several warnings, instead of chasing it back to Syria. The incident sent border tensions spiraling and gave Damascus and Moscow the pretext for backing out of the chemical weapons deal under the oversight of the Organizaton for the Prevention of Chemical Weapons, so long as the OPCW was headed by a Turkish official.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 9, 2013
Extraordinary US efforts to save the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood ran aground, leaving the military more determined than ever to remove the Brothers from national politics.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 2, 2013
Turkey has signed an epic pact with the Kurdish Regional Republic of Iraq to cooperate in founding a self-ruling Kurdish entity in northern Syria. Ankara guarantees an air and military umbrella and its pipeline for brining Syrian Kurdish oil and gas to Europe.