DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis February 1, 2016
Israel’s leaders are clinging to lame locutions – “good judgment and responsibility” - to avoid military action for dealing with the crisis situations fast coming to a head on three extremely dangerous fronts: armed Palestinian terrorists are now tying up traffic on a major highway to the Israeli capital; southern Syria is sliding into the control of Hizballah after this Iranian proxy was permitted to amass 100,000 missiles in S. Lebanon; and, this week, Israelis living near the Gaza Strip could hear Palestinians building terror tunnels under their homes.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 21, 2016
The Islamic State’s illicit oil trade remains profitable like their other nefarious businesses. But their cash began to dry up after overspending on three months of costly foreign terrorist operations and heavy investments in developing hi-tech weapons and WMD.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 14, 2016
Ashton Carter is sending the 101st Airborne Screaming Eagles back to Iraq to beat ISIS and recover Mosul and Raqqa.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 12, 2015
The well-choreographed Obama-Netanyahu summit went swimmingly. They agreed to go back to close intelligence ties and the president was receptive to Israel’s concerns regarding the threats emanating from Syria, and the complication of the Russian military presence.
DEBKAfile Special Report November 2, 2015
Syrian media reported an Israeli air force attack Sunday, Nov. 1, after two sorties Friday night against Syrian army and Hizballah bases in the Qalamoun Mountains on the Lebanese border. The IDF declined to confirm or deny these reports. Syrian sources described a large number of Israeli airplanes as bombing a Hizballah unit in the village of El Ain in northern Lebanon and the arms depot of the Syrian army’s 155th Brigade at Al-Katifa. The two targets are 70 km apart, therefore two key points along the Iranian arms supply route to Hizballah.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 29, 2015
The new “Security Quartet” set up by Russia with Iran, Iraq and Syria, operates out of Baghdad and effectively runs the show in Syria and Iraq, and starting to push the Americans out.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 1, 2015
The list of the Russian air campaign’s first targets in Syria is weighted heavily in favor of strikes in support of stabilizing the Assad regime.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 29, 2015
Russian President Vladimir Putin is concerned about Israel’s repeated attacks in Syria, he said, after talking for an hour and-a-half with President Barack Obama earlyTuesday, Sept. 29, on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York. This was Putin’s warning to Israel to keep its hands of Syria, after the IDF’s powerful Tamuz rockets hit back for Syrian rocket fire. While Israel has signaled it would not permit an Iranian-Syrian-Hizballah terror base to operate from the Syrian Golan, the Russian leader refuses to tolerate Israeli counter-terror operations because they weaken Bashar Assad.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 26, 2015
China has jumped aboard the Russia-Iranian military alliance in Syria by sending the aircraft carrier Liaoning-CV-16 to Tartus, to await the arrival of a squadron of its J-15 Flying Shark fighters. As Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Barack Obama smiled and sat down in the White House to discuss improving relations, Beijing showed muscle - not just in the South China Sea but in the Mediterranean too, turning the Middle East strategic situation on its head.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 10, 2015
Al Qaeda’s Ayman Al-Zawahri, after three years’ silence, has offered to cooperate with ISIS, stepping in as fundamentalist voices in Tehran call for talks with the Islamic State. Who will get there first?
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 3, 2015
Jordan’s Abdullah has built a new 70,000-strong Hashemite Army with US arms and Saudi funding. It is now poised for battle in eastern Syria to take on ISIS at Deir Ez-Zur.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 3, 2015
Iranian Gen. Soleimani’s makeshift forces are taking a beating on all fronts – Syria, Iraq and Yemen – outsmarted and outgunned by ISIS. To cover up his failures he has unleashed a vicious attack on Washington.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 27, 2015
While preparing for the first time to send Russian military forces to Syria to fight ISIS, Putin doesn’t forget the energy card. He offers Netanyahu a deal: Russian military protection for Israel’s Mediterranean gas fields in return for a stake in pipeline construction.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis August 23, 2015
The four rockets fired from Syria into Israel’s Galilee and Golan Thursday, Aug. 20 were Iran’s way of testing the Israel’s government’s will for military action. Israel’s rhetoric and artillery, missile and aerial strikes Thursday night and Friday left everyone confused, by blaming Iran, Al Qods, the Palestinian Islamic Jihad and then attacking Syrian military targets in the Quneitra district. But the next day, Saturday, Tehran unveiled its new Fateh-313 missile, showing the Israeli reaction to the rockets to have fallen short of deterring the continued pursuit of its policies.
DEBKAfile Special Report August 18, 2015
Six Russian MiG-31 Foxhound interceptor aircraft from Moscow landed Tuesday, Aug. 18, at the Mezze Airbase in Damascus international airport, debkafile discloses. They were followed shortly after by giant An-124 Condor transports carrying 1,000 Kornet-9M133 third-generation anti-tank guided missiles. This airlift to Damascus betokens Moscow’s continued support for the Syrian ruler against peace plans currently afloat which all entail his removal, and is a move to block US-Turkish plans for a no-fly zone over Syria or any other direct intervention.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 15, 2015
In its first arms sale to an Arab country, revealed here by debkafile, Israel has sold Jordan 12 advanced unmanned aerial vehicles of the Heron TP and Skylark types. They are urgently needed by the Jordanian Royal Air Force to beef up its cross-border counter-terrorism campaign against ISIS in Iraq and Syria. Like other joint US-Israeli-Jordanian operations ongoing against the Islamic State, the Herons and Skylarks are almost certainly being operated by officers at the US Central Command Forward-Jordan war room north of Amman. Israel earlier donated 16 Cobras to Jordan’s air force.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 13, 2015
A year into the US-led coalition war on ISIS in Iraq and Syria, finds the jihadis holding onto most of the territorial gains against an almost-stalled offensive, while keeping their manpower stocks replenished with volunteers and expanding their terror fronts.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 30, 2015
Erdogan puzzles everyone by ditching his clandestine ties with ISIS to go on the offensive against the group, even at the certain risk of serious retribution of terror that could ruin Turkey’s $30bn tourist trade.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 25, 2015
After hree rounds of Turkish bombing attacks on the Islamic State in northern Syria, Ankara and Washington agreed Saturday, July 25, to name the security zone covered by a “partial no fly zone” they had declared in northern Syria the “Islamic State free zone.” This name represents a US-Turkish concession to Iran of immunity for its allies, Syrian President Bashar Assad and Hizballah, in order to gain Tehran’s cooperation in the campaign against ISIS. This deal advances Syrian-Hizballah hold on northern Syria against Islamist assaults, but drops the Kurds by the wayside.