DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 31, 2016
Putin has never given up on a Russian air base in Iraq after getting his way in Syria. He now has a good chance of Obama’s nod to him gaining an air base in Shiite dominated southern Iraq near the old fields.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 25, 2016
The Iraqi government says the wall going up to enclose Baghdad is a defense against terrorists. The Sunnis see it as a step towards forming a separate Shiite Iraqi state based on the capital, Baghdad.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 21, 2016
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards had no sooner agreed to release US hostages in a prisoner swap than three more were captured in Baghdad to keep the hostage card in play for squeezing Washington to part with more nuclear concessions.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis January 4, 2016
Not only did the Saudis execute the prominent Shiite cleric Nimr al-Nimr as a terrorist, but they put him to death together with Sunni terrorists, an unpardonable act which enraged Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to the point of threatening the Saudi royal family with “divine revenge.” Tehran also noted Prime Minister Netanyahu’s reference to Sunni and Shiite terrorist threats alike besetting Israel, and inferred that a counter-Tehran alliance may be in the making between Saudi Arabia and Israel, and possibly Turkey too.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 31, 2015
Deep cracks emerged in the allied front that pulled off the partially successful Ramadi operation. Most forces stayed out of the fighting, Americans shut Shiite militias out of the city center, and the US-trained Sunni militias had their own agenda.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 3, 2015
Iranian Gen. Soleimani’s makeshift forces are taking a beating on all fronts – Syria, Iraq and Yemen – outsmarted and outgunned by ISIS. To cover up his failures he has unleashed a vicious attack on Washington.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 27, 2015
Tehran is fighting on two Iraqi fronts: It has imported the powerful Zelzal missile to beef up a fresh offensive to recover Ramadi and Faluja from ISIS and contending with strong anti-Iran opposition lead by the venerated Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani from Najef.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 11, 2015
While all the experts agree that Obama has been too slow to stop ISIS, some ask whether this was not a devious ploy to let the Islamists curtail Iran’s imperial aspirations.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 28, 2015
ISIS has seized a dozen oil fields in Iraq and Syria amassing billions of dollars in black market sales and saving up to buy a nuclear bomb.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 28, 2015
Assad has pulled his army back on four fronts and relies on a foreign Shiite legion to defend his regime against swelling rebel and ISIS forces.
No army in Mid East is challenging ISIS. Iran regroups to defend S. Iraqi Shiites, Assad to save Damascus
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis May 25, 2015
Not a single competent army capable of launching all-out war on ISIS in Syria or Iraq is to be found between the Jordan and the Euphrates and Tigris to the east, or Ramadi and Riyadh to the south. Assad and Hizballah are regrouping to defend Syrian cities; Tehran to save the Shiite towns and oil of S. Iraq. Sunday, May 24, US Defense Secretary Ashton Carter said the Iraqi army had shown no will to fight. UK ex-army chief Lord Dannatt called for 5,000 British ground troops to fight the Islamists in Syria and Iraq.
Next challenge for US after Ramadi defeat is averted: Iranian ship nearing Yemen is redirected to Djibouti
DEBKAfile Special Report May 20, 2015
Two days after the blow to US strategy in the region landed by Ramadi’s fall to the Islamic State, the Obama administration faces its next test in the region: An Iranian cargo vessel accompanied by two warships plans to break the US-Saudi-Egyptian blockade of Yemen by docking at Hodeida and refusing to submit to a search for illicit weapons. debkafile: After warning that a search would be deemed an act of war, Iran climbed down Wednesday, May 20, and accepted a UN search in Djibouti, as demanded by Washington.
Ramadi’s fall opens ISIS road to Baghdad. Jordan warns US air strikes won’t stop the terrorists’ advance
DEBKAfile Special Report May 18, 2015
Jordan’s King Abdullah has warned Washington that US air strikes alone can’t stop the Islamic State’s advances in Iraq and Syria. What is more, they leave his kingdom next door exposed to an Islamist incursion in the south that would also put Saudi Arabia in peril. Abdullah offered the view that the US Delta Special Forces operation in eastern Syria Saturday was designed less to be an effective assault on ISIS’s core strength and more to play down the real Islamist threat facing Saudi Arabia, Jordan and the Gulf emirates. Washington did not heed him.
DEBKAfile Special Report May 15, 2015
Ramadi, provincial capital of western Iraqi Anbar, fell to the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant Friday, May 15. The town, 110 km west of Baghdad, controls the traffic on the Euphrates River. Small pockets of Iraqi troops are still stranded there after taking hundreds of casualties. debkafile: ISIS’s new fighting momentum has carried it across Anbar province to capture Jubba, next door to Iraq’s biggest air base at Al-Ansar where US officers are training Iraqi troops. The jihadis are also moving in on the oil town of Baiji.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 23, 2015
Obama is moderating his support for Iran’s pretensions to No.1 Middle East power after Tehran let Shiite militias in Iraq and Houthis in Yemen loose to attack Sunni Muslims.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 26, 2015
The surprise Saudi-Egyptian-GCC military action in Yemen for cutting down Iran’s proxy Houthis may be the opening shot for further Sunni action against Shiite Iran’s Middle East positions.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 19, 2015
To overcome ISIS, which is fighting with sophisticated electronic and cyber weapons as well as terrorist tactics, Iran will need to deploy its air force and the West will have to raise a force of 100,000 professional soldiers.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 12, 2015
The Saudis warn Washington that the Sunnis of Iraq would sooner fight against Iran-backed Shiite militias come to liberate them than their Islamic State occupiers. Riyadh is meanwhile trying to hire the Nusra militia as its Syrian proxy.
Netanyahu tries to head off Iran’s machinations after Obama empowers Tehran as favored Mid East ally
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis March 1, 2015
Almost the last words Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu heard Sunday, March 1, when he took off for Washington to address Congress on Iran was: “Don’t do it!” They came from a group of 180 ex-IDF military officers who tried to stop the speech lest it damage relations with the US. debkafile: Their protest should be addressed to the White House where, for six years, Barack Obama has eroded those relations. Netanyahu’s speech is just a tardy attempt to check Iran’s malignant machinations which go forward without restraint.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 5, 2015
Iran is putting the first interlocking pieces in place for its Shiite Crescent empire in Anbar, Iraq and the Qalamoun Mountains of western Syria. Israel is the fly in the Syrian ointment.