DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis November 16, 2013
French President Francois Hollande and Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius arrive in Jerusalem Sunday, Nov. 17. Their talks with Israel’s leaders will show if France stands by its independent stance against Washington’s détente with Tehran and is willing to throw in its lot ad hoc with Israel, Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Egypt. Their outcome will determine whether Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu goes to Moscow next Wednesday alone or with French and Saudi backing. The next round of nuclear negotiations in Geneva on Nov. 20 will also be influenced.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 14, 2013
Prince Bandar bin Sultan has a war chest of $500 million for clandestine operations in Iran, including assassinations and fomenting violent unrest among its national minorities in four corners of the country.
Lavrov to confirm Russian air defense system, surface missiles for Egypt, Russian Navy facilities at Alexandria
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 12, 2013
During their two-day visit to Cairo starting Wednesday, Nov. 13, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu will finalize an advanced Russian weaponry deal for the Egyptian army. debkafile: Egypt will receive a double-layered system for defensive and offensive needs: a shield against stealth airplane, drone and cruise missile attack, as well as missiles able to reach any part of the Middle East, including Iran. The Russian Navy may gain Mediterranean port facilities and a foothold opposite the Saudi coast.
DEBKAfile Special Report November 11, 2013
Secretary of State John Kerry landed in Dubai Monday, Nov. 11, to try and break up the unique bond of European governments, Saudi Arabia, the Gulf Arab states and Israel which stalled the US-Iranian nuclear deal in Geneva. debkafile: Washington shows no sign of toning down its deal with Iran, although US undersecretary Wendy Sherman and EU’s Catherine Ashton are blamed for damaging the process by opening the draft too freely for amendments by Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zerif, which even Kerry was not ready to sign.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 8, 2013
Washington hopes by clinching a fast deal with Iran, albeit a partial and first step, to avert an Israeli strike and delay the transfer of Pakistani nukes paid for by Riyadh to Saudi Arabia.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 4, 2013
By the time US Secretary of State John Kerry arrived in Cairo and Riyadh Nov. 3-4 for talks with Egyptian and Saudi leaders, negotiations were already afoot on plans for a Russian naval port in Egypt, debkafile reports. This followed the plan Saudi Arabia developed with Moscow for re-establishing Russian military advisers in Egypt and for America’s replacement by Russia as Egypt’s main arms supplier. The Russians have listed four preferred locations on the Mediterranean coast for their new naval port facilities: Alexandria, Damietta, Rosetta or Port Said.
Al Qaeda’s thrust toward Golan: Israel, Saudis, Jordan share urgent need to stem the fast-multiplying peril
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 26, 2013
The Golan villages' defense units along the Israeli-Syrian border will be put through their paces by an IDF exercise next week to build up their readiness and freshen their tactics against terrorist incursions. debkafile: It is estimated that the figure of 6,000 jihadists of Al Qaeda and affiliates present in Syria today will have doubled by next spring. Israel's alarm is shared by Saudi Arabia, which sees al Qaeda massing in Syria and on its borders with Jordan, Iraq and Yemen and threatening to overrun Lebanon and Jordan.
The Big Fraud: Tehran’s ScanEagle gift to Russia covered handover of secret US RQ-170 drone technology
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 25, 2013
Iranian video cameras homed in on the presentation of a replica of the US-made ScanEagle drone by Iran’s air force chief Farzad Esmayeeli to Lt. Gen. Viktor Bondarev, visiting Russian air force chief, on Tuesday, Oct. 22. debkafile: This incident, an affront to the US, will also go down as a major military intelligence fraud, because it provided cover for the discreet handover to the Russian general of a replica complete with technology of America’s most secret drone, the sophisticated RQ-170 Sentinel, a prize long coveted by Moscow.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 24, 2013
Dead set against Obama’s policies for Syria and Iran, the Saudis are preparing to send heavy weapons to the Syrian rebels, making up the deficiency created by Western denial. Jordan must be persuaded to let the supply transit its territory.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 24, 2013
As Al Qods rounds up a Shiite legion across the Middle East to fight for Damascus, Hizballah is deeply reluctant to stay in the Syrian war arena any longer. The Saudis are pushing for a government in Beirut that will pull Hizballah out of Syria.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 11, 2013
Riyadh has gone into action to sabotage US-Russian steps in Syria and US interests in Turkey and Egypt as acts of hostility against Obama administration policies.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 4, 2013
Israel and Saudi Arabia are nursing their own separate options after rejecting Obama’s decision to embark on détente with Iran. They have found some common ground on diplomacy ad hoc.
DEBKAfile Special Report October 2, 2013
Associates of Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu Wednesday, Oct. 2, leaked word to the media that Israel was in contact with Saudi and Gulf representatives to align their policies for offsetting President Barack Obama’s advancing rapprochement with Iran and any US easing-up on the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program. These exchanges include recent visits to Israel of high-ranking Gulf officials and will extend to joint lobbying efforts in the US Congress to overrule Obama administration’s outreach to Tehran. This leak signals a widening of the breach between Israel and the US president.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 27, 2013
Three royal princes and a functionary have formed a quartet to initiate a new style of government in Riyadh which is less focused on royal family interests. They espouse reform and an activist foreign policy.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 30, 2013
Israelis and Saudis are concerned Obama will treat nuclear Iran as leniently as chemical Syria.
Assad may hit back at Israel for US strike, trusting Obama to tie Israel’s hands against major reprisal
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 27, 2013
There is little logic in the Netanyahu government’s public assurances that the Syrian ruler Bashar Assad would not risk a major showdown with Israel for fear of an IDF response powerful enough to overthrow his regime. debkafile: President Barack Obama would not countenance an Israeli military strike against Syria disproportionate to a US operation, or capable of endangering Assad’s rule. Assad's Russian advisers have undoubtedly briefed him on Israel’s tied hands. However, even a limited US strike is likely to spread since Syria’s allies will not stand by idly.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 23, 2013
Egyptian intelligence has asked for Israel help in tracking down Mahmoud Izzat Ibrahim, newly-anointed Brotherhood Supreme Guide, last seen holed up in Gaza.
DEBKAfile Video August 17, 2013
Top US soldier Gen. Martin Dempsey has just inaugurated Centcom’s Forward Command in Jordan manned by 273 US officers. It is linked to US, Israel, Jordanian and Saudi air commands ready for an order from President Barack Obama to impose a partial no-fly zone over Syria.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 9, 2013
The succession race is heating up in Riyadh as King Abdullah and Crown Prince Salman are both in declining health. The frontrunner for next crown prince is Prince Muqrin, former chief of intelligence.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 2, 2013
Obama had finally approved military intervention in the Syrian conflict when the Saudis and the emirates vetoed his plans for fear they would lead to Syria’s disintegration instead of a unified Sunni state.