DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 14, 2011
Iranian Intelligence Minister Heidar Moslehi visited Riyadh Monday, Dec. 12 with a large delegation and a proposition for Crown Prince Nayef: For an anti-US and anti-Zionist pact on regional issues, Tehran would act to bring the Syrian opposition into government and open its nuclear program to Saudi participation. Moslehi boasted that after seizing top US secret drone technology by a successful cyber attack, Iran was unquestionably the top regional power. The Saudis moved fast to take the ayatollahs down a peg or two.
DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly December 13, 2011
By deploying US troops on the Jordanian-Syrian border, the Obama administration played the last piece of its master game for Bashar Assad's ouster – in conjunction with Turkey, France, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Qatar. DEBKA-Net-Weekly's latest issue out Friday offers glimpses of covert US action in Syria alongside counter-steps pursued by Damascus, Tehran and Hizballah.
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DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 25, 2011
Saudi rulers have concluded that to survive in the Middle East, they need an independent nuclear weapon capability. They have launched a nuclear weapons and missile program as a counterweight to the Iranian capability which they do not expect anyone else to curtail.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 18, 2011
The Arab League was not first to make the Syrian crisis a regional concern. Big power rivalry got there first. The US and France, like the Sunni rulers, seek Bashar Assad's downfall, while Russia and China are propping him up as their firewall for the Islamic regime in Tehran.
DEBKAfile Special Report November 16, 2011
The Assad regime suffered a shock Wednesday Nov.16 when self-styled "Free Syrian Army" deserters firing shoulder-borne rockets and heavy machine guns struck its biggest security complex at Harasta west of Damascus. This was the first rebel attack on a major strategic target and a potential game-changer. debkafile: It was undoubtedly part of a well-laid plan drawn up by Turkey, the Persian Gulf states led by Saudi Arabia and Qatar and Jordan to topple Iran's closest ally, Bashar Assad.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 10, 2011
There is almost no record of the views and orientation of the new Saudi crown prince and defense minister. However, Princes Nayef and Salman will be running the oil kingdom's foreign and defense affairs in the coming decade, taking the lead for the entire Gulf region as Iran becomes a rising nuclear power.
DEBKAfile Special Report October 28, 2011
In the last 48 hours, the Syrian engineering corps has laid minefields along the Jordanian, Turkish borders to cut down on the influx of weapons and armed manpower supporting the anti-Assad opposition and the outflow of army deserters. debkafile's military sources add: By this action, Syria also aims to seal itself off against foreign military intervention. Since Muammar Qaddafi's death, Bashar Assad fears he is facing Arab military incursions backed by NATO.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 28, 2011
Tehran has come around to deciding that Bashar Assad will have to be forced out of the Syrian presidency and may be willing to join forces with the US, Saudi Arabia and Turkey to accomplish this – provided the foursome can get past a whole thicket of animosities.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis October 22, 2011
Saudi Crown Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz's long-expected passing aged 87 in New York Saturday, Oct. 22 could not have happened at a more auspicious time for his presumed successor, Interior Minister and Deputy Prime Minister Prince Nayef bin Abdulaziz, to move up as next in line to the throne after King Abdullah. Whereas the Muslim clergy backed uprisings against five other Arab regimes, the Saudi religious establishment is solidly behind the throne – and will especially welcome the ascent of conservative Prince Nayef.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 16, 2011
The United States launches a large-scale strategic airlift exercise over the Middle East Monday, Oct. 21. Tuesday, the day of the Israel-Hamas prisoner exchange for Gilad Shalit, the giant transports carrying command and combat units will practice swift emergency landings in Israel and Saudi Arabia. The US, Israeli, Egyptian and Saudi armies are on high military preparedness amid warnings of terrorist attacks to disrupt the prisoner exchange and avenge US charges of an Iran-instigated plot to murder the Saudi ambassador.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 14, 2011
The Israel-Hamas prisoner swap for Gilad Shalit and the exposure of the plot to assassinate the Saudi ambassador opened two new US fronts against Iran: The relocation of Hamas HQ from Damascus to Cairo which deprived Iran and Syria of their Palestinian lever and a pretext for the Saudis to declare war on the Islamic Republic.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 7, 2011
A Saudi tip-off gave the CIA led its drone to strike the convoy carrying two American al Qaeda operatives Anwar al-Awlaki and Samir Khan. The price tag: Washington must let Abdullah Ali Saleh return to Yemen without making a fuss. The White House welcomed this first sign of a thaw in the frosted-over Saudi-US relations.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 7, 2011
As King Abdullah gives Saudi women their first limited rights to vote and run for office, the sound and fury of the Arab revolt, most likely stirred up from Iran, is beginning to creep up on the kingdom from the Shiite minority populating its richest oil regions, while real power remains vested in the old royal and religious guards.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 5, 2011
Has the Arab revolt reached Saudi Arabia? Wednesday, Oct. 5, the Ministry of Interior in Riyadh warned it would "strike with an iron fist" the enemies of the country's stability and security after 11 security officers were injured by automatic fire and Molotov bombs in Qatif, Saudi Arabia's richest oil center The Saudis did not name Iran, but blamed a "foreign country" for inciting the region's Shiites to armed violence against the royal regime.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 26, 2011
NATO, Britain and France are too broke to finish the job the started in Libya. The Saudi-led Gulf Cooperation Council is ready to provide financing but wants a NATO military arm for overthrowing the Assad regime in Syria and promoting its other interests. The Obama administration welcomes the hook-up to relieve the US for some of its financial burdens.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 19, 2011
After ruling out direct military intervention, most governments concerned in the drive to oust Bashar Assad find that arming the rebels and pumping thousands of Sunni volunteers into Syria are the only feasible option. But before this plan is up and running, he is expected to preemptively employ the Lebanese Shiite Hizballah for heating up the Lebanese-Israel border or even spark an all-out conflagration between the two long-time foes which would quickly ignite the Golan border between Syria and Israel.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 12, 2011
The extremist Somali rebel Al Shabaab exited Mogadishu to escape the famine, regroup after lost battles and asses its relations with al Qaeda. Some militia leaders urge reconciliation with Saudi Arabia; others stronger ties with al Qaeda's Yemeni leader Anwar al-Awlak. Either way, it is too soon for Mogadishu to celebrate.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 12, 2011
Kuwait prepares for war on Shatt al-Arb outlet to Persian Gulf after Iranian proxy threat against mega-port. Al Qaida threatens Paris, tries to hitch a ride on Britain's mob riots. And Saudi Arabia is braced for dangerous Sunni street protests against the throne.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 5, 2011
While his bloody crackdown on Hama grabs headlines, and Bashar Assad's fights for his life against his people, Saudi Arabia eyes the eastern Euphrates Valley and its towns of Deir el-Zour and Abu Kamal for severance from Syria to link up with the Iraqi Anbar province and form a new Sunni Muslim republic under their protection.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 28, 2011
President Bashar Assad and his brother Maher, who leads the crackdown on protest, are not talking. Their Alawite sect is withdrawing its support and the clergy spurn the regime's demand to keep the crowds off the streets during Ramadan, during which the opposition plans nightly anti-Assad rallies.