DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis November 8, 2015
Israeli Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu meets President Barack Obama at the White House on Monday, Nov. 9, after four grave setbacks: Deepenng Russian and Iranian military intervention in Syria inching up to Israel’s borders; Bashar Assad’s survival against all predictions; the strengthening of the Islamic State; and a deadly Palestinian terror campaign pervading the country. Even if they agree on Israel’s security needs in the coming years and the scale of US military aid, Middle East volatility may quickly obviate all forecasts.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 26, 2015
Moscow has augmented its military presence in Syria and Iraq with two state-of-the-art weapons: Ilyushin-20 (IL-20 Coot) surveillance planes in both countries and, nine Borisoglebsk 2 electronic warfare systems atop a Syria peak. Both are among the most sophisticated of their kind. Last week, after Baghdad gave Moscow permission to use its Al Taqaddum air base, the Russian spy plane first sighted in Syria was spotted in Iraq. The electronic warfare system is capable of neutralizing air and ground military operations of US-led operations forces in Syria and Iraq by jamming almost any radio signal.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 17, 2015
Saudi Arabia and the UAE are funneling millions of dollars to Palestinian groups to buy their abstention from the current wave of terror against Israel, while Iran and Hizballah spend cash to convince Palestinian extremists to keep the flames high. The Saudi-Iranian contest terror poses a major threat to the security and stability of Israel and Jordan. The Obama administration is left behind and Mahmoud Abbas is out in the cold as the Saudis and UAE go directly to Israel and Jordan.
DEBKAfile Special Report October 15, 2015
Israel was uncharacteristically forthcoming in revealing on Thursday, Oct. 15, that 3,000 Iranian Revolutionary Guards troops had secretly landed in Syria - the largest Iranian ground force ever to set foot there. This disclosure came from Israel’s grave concern that Iran may take advantage of the IDF’s transfer of forces from its northern borders to domestic fronts - for quelling the current outbreak of Palestinian terrorist violence - to go for territorial gains on the Golan and the Israel-Lebanon border.
DEBKAfile Special Report October 14, 2015
Israelis have absorbed the first shock of the wave of Palestinian terror unleashed in the last two weeks. The Palestinians are likely absorbing the package of tough penalties for terror and deterrents the Netanyahu government began putting together Tuesday night. Wednesday, Oct. 14, saw relative calm after the deadly violence reached a new peak Tuesday. The 500 young soldiers mobilized to ramp up Jerusalem security will have to take their cues from a police force under-manned but well-seasoned in handling multiple terror
DEBKAfile Special Report October 13, 2015
After the first shooting in the current wave of Palestinian terror, three deaths and 27 injured victims in one day, Israeli hospitals were put on emergency footing Tuesday, Oct. 13, for the potential contingency of multiple casualties. Medical and auxiliary staff and supply centers were ordered to prepare for this contingency. Hospitals, especially in Jerusalem, are already facing a rise in emergency admissions as a result of terrorist attacks. The government introduced new anti-terror measures.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 15, 2015
Three dates are landmarks of a new outbreak of armed Palestinian terror against Israel: On Aug. 30, an army-police squad rounding up terrorist suspects was waylaid in the Jenin refugee camp by fierce gangs armed with rocks, iron bars and firebombs. On Sept. 13, an Israeli car was stoned in Jerusalem, killing the driver Alexander Levlovitch, 64. The next day, Palestinian gangs fought Israeli police guards on Temple Mount with rocks, blocks of concrete and iron bars. Since Israeli troops were told to fire in the air opposite Palestinian violence, terror has escalated sharply, undeterred by legal measures.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 13, 2015
Weeks ago, President Vladimir discreetly offered Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu a deal for Moscow to undertake responsibility for guarding Israel’s Mediterranean gas fields against possible Iranian or Hizballah sabotage, along with Russian investment of $7-10 billion for developing Leviathan and building a pipeline to Turkey, debkafile reports. Netanyahu did not give him a clear answer. The Russian military buildup in Syria meanwhile radically alters Israel’s strategic landscape in respect of its posture on Syria, the gas fields’ vulnerability and foreign investment prospects for development.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis July 3, 2015
The statements by different Israeli spokesmen this week on Egypt, ISIS and Hamas were at dangerous variance with the actual events on their back door. They seemed to overlook the radical axis formed by ISIS, Hamas and the Muslim Brotherhood, which threatens Egypt with a drawn-out bloody war, overrunning much of Sinai up to the Suez Canal, seizing the Gaza Strip and launching major assaults on Israel. Friday, July 3, rockets suspected to have come from Sinai raised alerts in parts of southern Israel and administered a much-needed dose of reality.
DEBKAfile Special Report May 21, 2015
The fall of Damascus and Baghdad, or large slices thereof, to the rapacious Islamic State, is no longer the subject of strategic forecasts, but here and now. It is the price the region is paying for President Barack Obama’s single-minded obsession with détente with Tehran and a nuclear accord. Ramadi’s fall in Iraq and Palmyra’s in Syria proved ISIS’s ability to rock the Middle East to its foundations. Watching the threats closing in, Jerusalem, Amman and Riyadh grasp they may have to contend alone – not just with Iran but also with ISIS.
DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly July 12, 2014
As Palestinian-Israeli rancor exploded in a military duel with Hamas in Gaza, the tit-for-tat murders of kidnapped teens and firebomb-rock-wielding riots by Israeli Arabs, Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu presented a calm front as though everything was under control. That front is about to be severely tested. The latest DEBKA Weekly out last Friday detailed how Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen) behind his peace mask is secretly stirring his people up for a fateful war on Israel. He is plotting an all-encompassing “Third Intifada” - more lethal than the first two, to place Israel in extreme peril.
Exclusive: US “framework” calls for 80,000 Israeli West Bank evacuations to the big settlement blocs
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 31, 2013
The State Department spokeswoman said Tuesday, Dec. 31, that this week, Secretary John Kerry would discuss with Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and Palestinian Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas a “proposed framework” to serve as “a guideline for addressing all core issues,” which would not count as an interim agreement. debkafile reveals the framework’s nine points as first published on Dec. 20, by DEBKA Weekly. One calls for Israel to hand over 92.8pc of West Bank territory for a Palestinian state. Another links Gaza and the West Bank by express train.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 23, 2013
Secretary of State John Kerry has kept a tight lid on the bubbling Palestinian stew by forbidding Israeli and Palestinian negotiators to publicly give the game away about the true state of their talks, which are stuck. This has let Kerry pretend the talks are gong well; Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu avoid giving up settlements to keep his coalition intact; and Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas to quietly let terrorists partly off the leash for attacks on the Israeli military. Saturday and Sunday, two soldiers were murdered by Palestinians.
DEBKAfile Special Report May 22, 2013
Some Israeli defense strategists still refuse to admit that Bashar Assad, Hassan Nasrallah and Iran’s Ayatollah Khamenei are pulling ahead in the Syrian war - contrary to their hopes that defeat would snap their bonds.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis March 12, 2013
By beating the Syrian army 17th reserve division for control of the Euphrates, Islamist militias have removed the last gap in al Qaeda’s 1,000-km chain of command from northern Baghdad to eastern Damascus, including Syrian Golan on Israel’s border. Any “conflagration” in Syria could quickly spread to Lebanon, Iraq or the Golan; a violent incident in Egypt could spill back and forth into Libya, Israel or Algeria. “The threats have not gone, only assumed new shapes,” said IDF chief of staff Lt. Gen. Benny Gantz.
DEBKAfile Special Report November 11, 2012
Israel’s deteriorating security situation has erupted simultaneously on two fronts. Sunday, Nov. 11, the IDF fired a Tamuz precision guided missile at a Syrian mortar position as a warning after a stray mortar hit an Israel Golan defense post. It was the fourth incident in 10 days. On the Gaza front, the Palestinians shot Grad missiles at Beersheba – one was intercepted by Iron Dome – after shooting 60 missiles in less than 24 hours. They injured four Israeli soldiers Saturday, four civilians Sunday – apparent victims of Katyushas supplied by Hizballah.
DEBKAfile Special Report October 23, 2012
Both US presidential contenders, Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, pledged to stand with Israel if attacked in their foreign policy debate in Boca Raton, Florida Monday, Oct. 22. But neither agreed in reply to the question to formally declare that an attack on Israel would be tantamount to an attack on America, especially in relation to a nuclear Iran. Romney and Obama agreed that a military option must be a last resort, although Romney, unlike Obama, said even a “nuclear-capable Iran” was unacceptable.
DEBKAfile Special Report September 14, 2012
Hundreds of Palestinians lobbing rocks clashed with Jerusalem police Friday as they marched from Temple Mount, Jerusalem, to Damascus Gate - their first protest against the anti-Muslim film made in the US. Mounted police using stun grenades stopped them reaching the US consulate. Protests erupted too in the Gaza Strip and the Israel Bedouin town of Rahat. Islamists continued to batter the US embassies in Cairo and Sanaa, riot in Bangladesh and Lebanon and also attack the British and German embassies in Khartoum.
DEBKAfile Special Report June 7, 2012
Iran stalled the US Secretary and UN-Arab League Envoy Kofi Annan’s plan for a contact group based on five permanent Security Council members and Iran to handle the Syrian impasse, refusing to join the group so long as it faces nuclear conditions. Tehran's non-cooperation on Syria reflected its flat-out rejection of the US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s demand that Iran come to the nuclear talks in Moscow “ready to take concrete steps” to curb its enrichment of uranium to 20 percent purity.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 3, 2012
For the first time since 2006, the Palestinian Authority’s security services on the West Bank have stopped cooperating with the IDF in operations and intelligence-sharing for countering terrorism. Arrests and interrogations of suspects, the most effective way to thwart terrorist plots, have been discontinued and replaced with the old “revolving door” tactic practiced by Yasser Arafat. Israel has accordingly upgraded its terror alert, fearing a resurgence of Palestinian terrorism.
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