DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 4, 2011
The accord reached between Saudi King Abdullah and the Bahraini monarch Hamas bin Isa Al Khalifa for the oil island's virtual annexation by Riyadh has so incensed Tehran that armed Iranian-Saudi clashes with the potential for all-out warfare may be unavoidable, debkafile's sources estimate.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 18, 2011
By stepping into Bahrain, the Saudis took the calculated risk of accelerating Sunni-Shiite discord across the region. Because of the challenge to its religious supremacy from Iraq, Tehran is re-thinking the wisdom of its decision to hijack the Arab uprisings.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis February 26, 2011
Iraq's biggest oil refinery at Baiji, 180 kilometers north of Baghdad, was blown up early Saturday, Feb. 26, by an Al Qaeda cell activated by the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Al Qods Brigades, debkafile's Middle East sources report. Tehran is using the Middle East turbulence to generate fuel shortages in Iraq and boost oil prices worldwide. Thursday night saw the first signs of unrest in Saudi Arabia with demonstrations by young people and by Shiites living and working in the kingdom's eastern oil regions..
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis December 14, 2010
The Swedish investigation into the country's first suicide bombing Saturday, Dec. 11, quickly found that the bomb car which exploded during a shopping rush in the heart of Stockholm was part of a well-planned, sophisticated terror operation, prepared several months in advance to inflict a large number of casualties.The Islamist terror group had drawn lessons from the failed Times Square car bombing. Unlike Faisal Shahzad who fled, Taimour al-Abdaly was a walking bomb arsenal.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis November 15, 2010
Iyad Allawi, whose Al Iraqiya party won Iraq's general election last April, was forced to admit Friday, Nov. 12 upon losing the premiership to the pro-Iranian incumbent Nouri Al-Malaki that "the concept of power-sharing in Iraq was dead. For Iraq" he said, "there will be tensions and violence, probably." That day, too, debkafile's sources report, Hizballah's Hassan Nasrallah asserted that what happened in Baghdad is destined for Beirut, marking Tehran's next Middle East target for wresting from Washington.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 6, 2010
Terrorists attacking US troops in Iraq are masterminded, trained and abetted by officers of the Lebanese Hizballah. A US intelligence source told debkafile Monday, Sept. 6: "Hizballah is striking US targets in Iraq as sub-contractor for Iran and Syria."Our sources report Hizballah is spearheading their drive to resuscitate the Eastern Front which threatened Israel in the days of Saddam Hussein. Its contemporary form would be led from Tehran.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 2, 2010
While most of the equipment goes through the US emergency depot in Kuwait and transferred to Afghanistan as needed, some key items went to the Israeli Defense Forces, including light armored combat vehicles, command vehicles, light and heavy trucks, fuel tankers, all-terrain vehicles, communications vehicles and ambulances .
DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly August 3, 2010
Spurred by the power vacuum in Baghdad, Iraq's Shiite, Sunni and Kurdish leaders are set to leap into inter-communal warfare with regional fallout after Aug. 31 when the US pulls the bulk of its combat troops out as President Barack promised.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 22, 2010
Military tensions rise in Iraq as pro-Iranian Shiite militias appear to be planning attacks on American forces, debkafile's exclusive sources report. Tehran is furious over Washington's decision to retain a number of US troops in Iraq, possibly as UN peacekeepers, after the pullout pledged by President Barak Obama to start on September 1.
US commander in Iraq Gen. Ray Odierno names three Shiite militias recently trained in Iran for a new collision course aside from the nuclear controversy.
DEBKAfile Special Report May 11, 2010
In an unprecedentedly wild rampage, even for al Qaeda, raider-units, speeding drive-by gun squads, car bombs and homicidal suicides mowed down checkpoints, liquidated Iraqi soldiers, police and security personnel and murdered civilians in eight Iraqi cities including the capital, Baghdad, Monday, May 10. By the end of the day, more than 100 people were dead and 300 injured.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 19, 2010
Iraq's prime minister Nouri al-Maliki's unexplained absence from public view after an unpublished attempted assassination may cost him his election victory. Eight days later, he sent a message from his hospital bed asking Tehran to rally its supporters in the Iraqi parliament to stop his rival, Iyad Allawi, gaining the premiership with Saudi-Syrian support.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis March 9, 2010
Preliminary Iraqi election results show incumbent prime minister Nouri Maliki returned with a commanding 100 parliamentary seats out of 325 and the ability to form a pro-American coalition with Iyad Allawi's secular alliance and the Kurdish bloc that will be stable enough for US troops to depart Iraq on schedule.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 12, 2010
Saudi king Abdullah and Syrian president Bashar Assad have no qualms about sending al Qaeda and ex-Baathist gangs out of their Syrian havens to slaughter Shiite pilgrims in Iraq in their determination to prevent prime minister Nouri al-Maliki's election in March.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 23, 2009
Several large truck bombs blew up across Baghdad and around its heavily fortified Green Zone, Wednesday, Aug. 19, hitting the Iraqi foreign and finance ministries, followed by a mortar barrage. Buildings were destroyed and windows shattered at the Iraqi parliament and the diplomatic complex inside the Green Zone in the bloodiest terror attack in Iraq this year.
Al Qaeda's responsibility is strongly indicated by the fact that it occurred on the anniversary of the suicide bombing which killed 22 people at UN headquarters in Baghdad on Aug. 19, 2003
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 4, 2009
Parties, processions, a parade in the fortified Green Zone seat of government and embassies, and prime minister Nuri al-Malikii's proclamation of June 30 National Sovereignty Day celebrated the US military's handover of towns and cities to Iraqi security personnel on the way to a full withdrawal by the end of 2011.
Yet debkafile's military sources stress that unresolved tensions among Shiites, Sunnis and Kurds still simmer and may erupt after the withdrawal of 130,000 US troops to 39 remote rural bases - nowhere near on hand for emergencies.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 16, 2009
debkafile's Gulf sources report that the assassination Friday, June 12, of Hareth al-Obaidi, head of the Iraqi Accordance Front bloc, is seen as a major disaster for the Sunni Arab world and an omen of worse to come.
Fears of a systematic liquidation of Sunni leaders in Iraq at the hands Iraqi and Iranian Shiites figured large in US president Barack Obama's last conversation with Saudi king Abdullah in Riyadh on June 3 just before his Cairo University speech.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 25, 2008
Days before Iraqi Prime minister Nouri al-Maliki visits Tehran, his government has told the opposition People's Mujahideen Organization of Iran (PMOI) it is no longer welcome in Iraq.
Ashraf Camp, their sanctuary 70 km north of Baghdad for two decades, will be closed and 3,500 occupants face deportation to their own country (certain execution) or other countries. debkafile reports that no government has offered the group asylum although Jordan has supported the PMOI's successful claim to delete its terrorist listing by the European Union.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 27, 2008
The US defense secretary Robert Gates responded angrily to Iraq's unanimous vote Saturday, Oct. 21 to demand amendments in the draft status-of-forces agreement providing for US troops to stay in Iraq until 2011. There will be "pretty dramatic" consequences," Gates said unless Iraqi politicians get behind the agreement.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 16, 2008
A businessman gunned down in his shop Sunday was the 12th Christian killed in the northern Iraqi town of Mosul since Sept. 28 in the worst violence targeting this minority in five years. Prime minister Maliki has deployed 1,000 police to patrol the four largely Christian districts of Mosul and set up checkpoints at churches, as some 3,000 have fled the city.