<span class="debka">debka</span><span class="file">file</span> confirms: Radical Shiite cleric Moqtada Sadr moved to Iran ahead of US-Iraqi security sweep of Baghdad<br/>
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 17, 2007
Fearing his Mehdi Amy militia would be targeted, debkafile also reports Sadr took with him its top commander Abbas Kufi and his two deputies, Omar Mohayfun and Hazar Maliki. They went over from Iraq to Iran early this week.
<span class="debka">debka</span><span class="file">file</span> Reports: Moscow pushes ahead in Bushehr after US sanctions threat to Russian Tor-M1 system suppliers
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 5, 2007
In Tehran this week, Russian security chief Igor Ivanov promised the work would go forward and be completed on schedule in September, 2007. He also pledged that fuel that could double for the manufacture of nuclear weapons, held back till now, would be released no later than March.
<span class="debka">debka</span><span class="file">file</span>: Israel and Europe have more to fear from an Iranian missile converted to launch a spy satellite than the satellite itself<br/>
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 1, 2007
A ballistic missile converted to a space launcher would pose a greater military threat to Israel than the spy satellite it launched. If that missile can deliver 300 kg into earth orbit, it can drop more than 300 kg anywhere in the world. Israel's anti-missile defenses are not at present up to fending off attack by such an ICBM, particularly if they are distracted by an initial volley of Shehab multiple warheads.
More about this in debkafile's Special Report below.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 28, 2007
Iran is closer than ever before to the launch of a spy satellite by a BM25 ballistic missile, 18 of which were purchased from North Korea, notwithstanding Pyongyang's denials of aid to Iran's nuclear program. Allaeddin Boroujerdi, chairman of the Iranian parliament's national security and foreign policy commission, said last week that Iran had finished building a reconnaissance satellite and had converted a ballistic missile into a space launcher. If this claim is correct, then Iran has a launcher able to put 300kg into earth orbit - and by the same definition, an ICBM that could drop more than 300 kg anywhere in the world, including Washington DC.
A three stage-missile in Iranian hands, powered by solid fuel with a long-range capability presents a major military challenge to Israel and the IDF. The Arrow system could knock out of the sky one or more of the new Shehab 3ER missiles; it cannot handle the complexities of a multiple Shehab warhead fired to deflect Arrow interceptors from meeting a heavyweight incoming BM25 ICBM.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 27, 2007
Dr. Mohammed ElBaradei, head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, said Iran expects to start installing thousands of centrifuges in an underground facility next month. This would pave the way to large-scale uranium enrichment, a step towards making nuclear weapons.
Tehran Friday demanded the removal of the UN senior inspection team for Iran, Chris Charlier of Belgium, after barring 38 inspectors from entering Iran last Monday.
Iran is preparing for an underground nuclear test with North Korean help before year's end - London Daily Telegraph
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 25, 2007
The British paper, quoting a senior European source, reports that North Korea is helping Iran prepare an underground nuclear test similar to the one Pyongyang carried out last October 9. In his State of the Union speech Wednesday, Jan. 23, US president George Bush said: "The United Nations has imposed sanctions on Iran and made it clear that the world will not allow ... Tehran to acquire nuclear weapons."
On Sept 13, debkafile revealed exclusively that 12 days before the North Korean test, an Iranian military delegation was admitted to the Yongbyon reactor (picture) and Punggye-ri testing site in northeast North Korea.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 15, 2007
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The Lebanon war and a fistful of Iranian petrodollars have impelled Syrian president Bashar Asad to haul his armed forces into the present. DEBKA-Net-Weekly 284 of Jan. 5, 207, revealed his latest acquisition: the sophisticated Russian S-300PMU2 FAVORIT air defense system, which is capable of downing Israel planes in Israeli air space and aircraft taking off from US Mediterranean carriers. Two new mechanized divisions are under construction raising the total to 12. Five will face Israel on the Golan, joined by new elite units trained for cross-border incursions.
<span class="debka">debka</span><span class="file">file</span> from Tehran: Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's adherents apply strong-arm tactics to falsify election results after early gains by his opponents
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 21, 2006
Publication of results was halted after only one-tenth of the votes had been counted in Tehran 60 hours after balloting. The president's followers, backed by Revolutionary Guards, had stormed the election committees. They used threats and harassment to force the counters to falsify the results and reverse the president's opponents' gains. Four prominent Iranians, including two ex-presidents, leveled charges of vote-rigging. One of them is Ahmadinejad's main rival, Hashem Rafsanjani, whom early results promise a seat in the powerful Assembly of Experts.
Read debkafile's Exclusive Report from Tehran below.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 18, 2006
The results of Iran's elections for local councils and the powerful Assembly of Experts have been tensely awaited as the first test of the president's popularity since he took office last year.
debkafile's Tehran sources report that his followers, seeing which way the wind was blowing, took matters in their own hands. Backed by armed Revolutionary Guards, they stormed the counting sessions Monday, Dec. 18, using threats and physical harassment to force the counters to falsify the results and reverse the gains.
Sixty hours after balloting ended, when only 10 percent of the returns to the key Tehran city election had been counted, the publication of further results was suspended.
Four prominent Iranians, including ex-presidents Hashem Rafsanani and Mohammed Khatami, protested that vote-rigging was taking place.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 13, 2006
debkafile's Iranian sources report the Islamic Republic plans an extensive campaign to justify its nuclear program, based on Israeli prime minister Ehud Olmert's statement in Berlin Monday, Dec. 11, listing Israel with the world's nuclear powers. Tehran also hopes to rebut the universal revulsion stirred by the Holocaust denial conference president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad staged this week.
Tehran's first step was a call Wednesday, Dec. 13, on the UN Security Council and the Organization of the Islamic Conference to combat "Israeli threats." It was issued by the foreign ministry spokesman Mohammad Ali Hosseini in Tehran.
The prime minister had meanwhile amended his statement by saying: "Israel has said many times it will not be the first country to introduce nuclear weapons to the Middle East. That was our position - nothing has changed."
Tehran will attempt to twist Olmert's statement round in its UN Security Council showdown over sanctions for defying the resolution banning uranium enrichment, and claim its entitlement to "self defense."
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 15, 2006
The powerful spectacle of Iran's be-turbaned supreme ruler Ayatollah Ali Khamenei clutching an automatic rifle, displayed exclusively by debkafile, drew on the belligerent imagery of Yasser Arafat and Saddam Hussein.
debkafile's Tehran sources reveal that the Iran's leaders took three fateful steps ahead of Khamenei's performance:
1. They pointed up the tradition initiated by the father of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini of marking the last Friday of Ramadan as International al Qods Day - "Jerusalem Liberation Day."
2. Khamenei's aides leaked word that his decision to hold the sermon of Oct. 13 was prompted by his discovery that the USS Eisenhower Carrier Strike Group was heading for the Persian Gulf and would be deployed in operational mode opposite Iran's shores by Oct. 21.
3. In Beirut, Iran's surrogate Hizballah announced the cancellation of its annual military parade on al Qods day, i.e. Oct. 20.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 13, 2006
The military pacts Palestinian Hamas interior minister Said Siyam signed with his Iranian counterpart Mostafa Pour-Mohammadi in Tehran on Oct. 12 are designed to transform Hamas' military wing, the Ezz e-Din al Qassam, into a crack operational arm of the Iran's Revolutionary Guards, and Gaza into a second Lebanon.
debkafile's Iranian sources report Tehran has committed to training Hamas' rapid deployment force of 6,500 men in Hizballah combat tactics, with the accent on missiles, especially the anti-tank variety which were used with devastating effect against Israeli tanks in the Lebanon War.
The Hamas military delegation flew from Cairo to Dubai and on to Tehran. Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak and intelligence chief, Gen. Omar Suleiman, were apprised of the Hamas leaders' trip and the military accords they were to sign, but did nothing to detain the travelers.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 9, 2006
The underground nuclear explosion North Korea carried out early Monday, Oct. 9, confronts US president George W. Bush with one problem that has run out of control and another, Iran's nuclear program, which soon will.
The European-Russian-Chinese insistence on diplomacy with Iran - no sanctions, no military action - is close to reaching the same dead end as did the talks with North Korea conducted by the US, Japan, China, Russia and South Korea.
Bush knows that a military attack would evoke an immediate North Korean invasion of the South and a potential nuclear conflict. But Tehran is quietly watching to see how the North Korea crisis plays out.
Ehud Olmert and his foreign minister Tzipi Livni are not the first Israeli leaders to dump the Iranian issue in the international lap. None of their predecessors made any real effort to nip the Iranian nuclear threat in the bud when it could still be stopped cold or at least slowed down. There is still a short time left to take action before Israelis wake up one morning - as did North Koreans and Japanese Monday, Oct. 9 - to find they ware living under a dark nuclear shadow - only for Israel a nuclear Iran will be less a shadow than a mortal threat to its very existence.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 20, 2006
While the leaders of the Non-Aligned Movement nations were making speeches at the 14th conference of their movement in Havana in mid-September, three groups of experts were off in a well-guarded corner next door to talk about matters far from the conference's main theme of how to develop backward economies and societies.
Iranian, Cuban and Venezuelan teams were putting their heads together on ways of translating their hostile rhetoric and slogans into effective war action against the United States.
debkafile's Exclusive intelligence and counter-terror sources disclose that the three teams were made up of intelligence officers and civilian officials on the staffs of the three rulers; their job is maintaining clandestine ties with underground and terrorist organizations.
Iran is also busy creating similar bases in E. Africa, favoring Sudan and Somalia.
At the Havana NAM conference the Iranian president and Sudan's Omar Bashir were seen deep in conversation. Tehran believes that the Sudanese ruler will come round now to accepting expanded military and intelligence collaboration between the two countries, whereas in 2003, he threw Iranian agents out of Sudan together with all their development specialists. Bashir is now seeking support for his Darfur policy which aims to remove pro-Western military elements from Sudan.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 20, 2006
Washington is keeping a sharp weather eye out for Tuesday, August 22, which this year corresponds in the Islamic calendar to the date on which many Sunni Muslims commemorate the night flight of the prophet Muhammad on his winged horse Buraq.
debkafile's intelligence sources report that information rated "highly credible" has reached US undercover agencies of a secret report presented to Iran's supreme ruler Ali Khamenei by Abdollah Shabhazi, one of the heads of the Supreme National Security Council. He claims to expose a mega-terror plot against Jerusalem scheduled for August 22, which aims at killing large numbers of Jews, Arabs and Christians.
This atrocity will reportedly arm the United States and Israel with the pretext for hitting Iran's nuclear installations, as well its capital, Tehran, and other big cities.
Deeply impressed, Iran's rulers launched a large-scale are, sea and ground exercise Saturday, Aug. 19.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 14, 2006
While the damage caused Israel's military reputation tops Western assessments of the Lebanon war, debkafile's Iranian sources report an entirely different perception taking hold in ruling circles in Tehran.
After UN Security Council resolution 1701 calling for a truce was carried Friday, Aug. 11, the heads of the regime received two separate evaluations of the situation in Lebanon - one from Iran's foreign ministry and one from its supreme national security council. Both were bleak: their compilers were concerned that Iran had been manipulatively robbed of its primary deterrent asset ahead of a probable nuclear confrontation with the United States and Israel.
It took Iran two decades to build up Hizballah's rocket inventory.
debkafile's sources estimate that Hizballah's adventure wiped out most of the vast sum of $4-6 bn the Iranian treasury sunk into building its military strength.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 15, 2006
In the past two weeks, Iran has been pumping into Iraq two types of extra-lethal weapons in very large quantities. They have already taken their toll in the shooting down of two military helicopters - one American and one British - and an estimated 19 deaths of US military personnel.
debkafile's military and intelligence sources estimate the delivery to Iraqi insurgents as consisting of around 1,000 SA-7 Strela ground-air missiles made in Iran, and a very large quantity of a newly-developed roadside bomb, loaded with compressed gas instead of ball bearings and cartridges, to magnify their blast and explosive power.
Together with the new Iranian weapons, a new array of Shiite terrorist groups has sprung up and is hitting American and British troops.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 14, 2006
Hardline President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's claim of Iranian success in low-level uranium enrichment was more bombastic than frank. Before springing his disclosure at a sacred mausoleum in the northern town of Mashhad on April 11, debkafile's Iranian sources disclose he paid a stealthy visit to Neyshabour in Khorassan, 38 kms to the southeast.
There, he inspected a project he omitted to mention in his Mashhad speech about low-level enrichment, namely, a top-secret plant under construction that is designed to run 155,000 centrifuges, enough to enrich uranium for 3-5 nuclear bombs a year.
This is Project B, or the hidden face of the enrichment plant open to inspection at Natanz.
This plant, due for completion next October, is scheduled to go on line at the end of 2007.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 4, 2006
Saturday, Feb. 4, Jerusalem stood back and watched the United States buckle under European pressure and accept Egypt's demand to incorporate the following phrase in the resolution on Iran:
The resolution recognized "that a solution to the Iranian issue would contribute to global nonproliferation efforts and... the objective of a Middle East free of weapons of mass destruction, including their means of delivery."
While the Vienna decision looks like a victory for Western diplomacy, Iran's leaders have lost no time in seizing on it as a license to go full throttle ahead with their illicit uranium enrichment, free of UN spot inspections. Furthermore, they have been given added leverage: before halting their own program, they can demand that the entire Middle East be disarmed - first and foremost Israel.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 28, 2005
On Dec. 17, debkafile reported exclusively:
A special Iranian plane flew Palestinian Hamas leader Khaled Meshaal to Revolutionary Guards HQ at Bandar Abbas Monday, Dec. 12, after he spent 10 days in Tehran as favored guest of Iran's clerical rulers. There, he conferred with RG commanders on operational collaboration between the two Palestinian groups, Hamas and Jihad Islami in Gaza and the West Bank, and their hook-up with Iranian networks and Hizballah in Lebanon. Their shared goal: the opening of a second rocket and shelling front against northern Israel to complement the Gaza front in the south.
This decision was implemented ten days later, Tuesday night Dec, 27, with a bombardment from southern Lebanon of Israel's western Galilee and the northern towns of Kiryat Shemona and Shlomi.