DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis February 26, 2016
US President Barack Obama and Secretary of State Kerry fondly hoped that the nuclear agreement signed with Iran would bring to the surface a new type of leader - more liberal and less liable to restart the nuclear arms program - in the twin elections taking place in the Islamic Republic Friday, Feb. 26. They are in for a disappointment, say debkafile’s Iran analysts. The hardliners and fundamentalists purged moderates from the lists of candidates for the Majlis and the Assembly of Experts, which is responsible for choosing the supreme leader.
DEBKAfile Special Report January 16, 2016
IThe nuclear watchdog confirmed that Iran had fulfilled its side of the nuclear deal with the six world powers and that sanctions could be lifted. debkafile: That statement fell short of certifying explicitly that Iran had complied with all its commitments. Furthermore, the radical Revolutionary Guards will continue fighting to scupper it by performing further aggressive acts against the US and Saudi Arabia.Iran’s hard liners may be expected to target sanctions relief lest the release of $100 billion to Iran benefit their rivals, the moderate conservatives led by President Hassan Rouhani and the powerful veteran Hashem Rafsanjani.
DEBKAfile Special Report January 13, 2016
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Wednesday, Jan. 13, released 10 US sailors, 9 men and a woman, who were seized a day earlier with their two patrol boats and held for interrogation as suspected spies. An IRGC statement read out on Iranian state TV said the sailors had been released back into international waters after the US had apologized and clarified the incursion was unintentional. The boats were sized shortly before sanctions were due to be lifted Friday, Jan. 15.
DEBKAfile Special Report July 14, 2015
In broad lines, the final nuclear deal, reached between six world powers and Iran in Vienna on Tuesday, July 14 - after repeated hold-ups - grants Tehran sanctions relief in exchange for curbs on its nuclear program. debkafile: The accord is a triumph for President Barack Obama’s policy of orienting US foreign policy on a rapprochement with Iran, while turning a cold shoulder to America’s traditional Middle East allies, Israel and Saudi Arabia. It anoints Tehran as leading regional power with its nuclear program intact – a major fiasco for Binyamin Netanyahu.
Zarif returns to Vienna with top Iranian nuclear elite. Israel fears nuclear deal signing is imminent
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 30, 2015
Iran’s Foreign Minister Mohamed Javad Zarif was on his way from Tehran to Vienna Tuesday, June 30, accompanied by two government heavyweights: Ali Akhbar Salehi, Chairman of the Nuclear Energy Commission, and Hossein Feredydoon, senior adviser to President Hassan Rouhani. debkafile: Israel fears that this high-powered Iranian representation portends a “surprise” signing of the comprehensive nuclear deal with the world powers on or close to the deadline day, after word of delays was deliberately spread to head off objections..
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 11, 2015
Iran is sitting pretty on the Strait of Hormuz since Washington refrained from slapping down its attacks on commercial vessels. Now the Iranian navy is eyeing the Red Sea’s Strait of Bab el-Mandeb.
DEBKAfile Special Report May 15, 2015
Ramadi, provincial capital of western Iraqi Anbar, fell to the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant Friday, May 15. The town, 110 km west of Baghdad, controls the traffic on the Euphrates River. Small pockets of Iraqi troops are still stranded there after taking hundreds of casualties. debkafile: ISIS’s new fighting momentum has carried it across Anbar province to capture Jubba, next door to Iraq’s biggest air base at Al-Ansar where US officers are training Iraqi troops. The jihadis are also moving in on the oil town of Baiji.
DEBKAfile Special Report March 25, 2015
The offensive launched by the Iraqi army and Iranian-led Shiite militias to capture Sunni Tikrit from the Islamic State has been thrown back - despite rosy coalition assessments. The fighting died down because the casualties ISIS inflicted on the mixed force and its Iranian officers were too heavy to bear and continue fighting. Complete Iraqi units fled in disarray. This outcome hangs a big question mark over the US tactic of relying for ground warfare against ISIS on local forces under Iranian command. Legendary Al Qods chief Gen. Qassem Soleimani faces hard questions.
Alongside negotiations with the US on a nuclear deal, Iran practices destroying American Gulf vessels
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 26, 2015
“Wiping out the American Navy in the Persian Gulf in a few hours,” was the object of the Revolutionary Guards naval exercise Wednesday, Feb. 25, according to guidelines laid down by Adm. Ali Fadavi, head of the Revolutionary Guards Navy, in a secret document, to which debkafile’s sources gained access. A replica of a US aircraft carrier was targeted as the symbol of US might – and not for the first time. On April 27, 2014, debkafile revealed Iran was building a mock-up of the USS Nimitz aircraft carrier for its war games last year too.
Two Israeli soldiers killed, 7 injured by Hizballah fire from Mt. Dov on unarmored IDF command vehicle. The IDF hit back
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis January 28, 2015
The IDF spokesman discloses that an officer and soldier were killed and 7 injured in coordinated Hizballah rocket and mortar attacks from Mt. Dov (Shabaa Farms) on an Israeli command patrol vehicle near the border Wednesday, Jan. 28. debkafile: The vehicle was not armored. The pro-Iranian Hizballah claimed the attack. Israel deployed artillery and aircraft to hit back at Hizballah and allied targets in South Lebanon. A major military clash ensued. debkafile: Israel is resolved to ward off any Iranian-Hizballah plans for a war of attrition.
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