DEBKAfile Special Report January 16, 2016
IThe nuclear watchdog confirmed that Iran had fulfilled its side of the nuclear deal with the six world powers and that sanctions could be lifted. debkafile: That statement fell short of certifying explicitly that Iran had complied with all its commitments. Furthermore, the radical Revolutionary Guards will continue fighting to scupper it by performing further aggressive acts against the US and Saudi Arabia.Iran’s hard liners may be expected to target sanctions relief lest the release of $100 billion to Iran benefit their rivals, the moderate conservatives led by President Hassan Rouhani and the powerful veteran Hashem Rafsanjani.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 23, 2015
The Syrian conflict is again bringing the hostile Iran-backed Hizballah into dangerous proximity to Israel’s border. After visiting Quneitra last week, Iran’s Gen. Qassem Soleimani and Russian air force chiefs in Syria concluded that Russian air strikes are necessary to break the deadlock in the Quneitra battle against rebel forces. Israel has informed Moscow and Washington that this would cross its red lines against Iranian and Hizballah forces moving in on its Golan border and Russian aerial activity over southern Syria.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 29, 2015
Russian President Vladimir Putin is concerned about Israel’s repeated attacks in Syria, he said, after talking for an hour and-a-half with President Barack Obama earlyTuesday, Sept. 29, on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York. This was Putin’s warning to Israel to keep its hands of Syria, after the IDF’s powerful Tamuz rockets hit back for Syrian rocket fire. While Israel has signaled it would not permit an Iranian-Syrian-Hizballah terror base to operate from the Syrian Golan, the Russian leader refuses to tolerate Israeli counter-terror operations because they weaken Bashar Assad.
No army in Mid East is challenging ISIS. Iran regroups to defend S. Iraqi Shiites, Assad to save Damascus
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis May 25, 2015
Not a single competent army capable of launching all-out war on ISIS in Syria or Iraq is to be found between the Jordan and the Euphrates and Tigris to the east, or Ramadi and Riyadh to the south. Assad and Hizballah are regrouping to defend Syrian cities; Tehran to save the Shiite towns and oil of S. Iraq. Sunday, May 24, US Defense Secretary Ashton Carter said the Iraqi army had shown no will to fight. UK ex-army chief Lord Dannatt called for 5,000 British ground troops to fight the Islamists in Syria and Iraq.
Arab sources report Israel air strikes against Syrian-Hizballah missile bases, Hizballah arms convoys. DEBKAfile: Hizballah secret airstrip possible target
DEBKAfile Special Report April 25, 2015
Al Jazeera and Al Arabiya TV reported Saturday, April 25, Israeli air strikes against Hizballah and Syrian targets in the Qalamoun Mts. on the Syrian-Lebanese border from April 22 to April 24. Neither Israeli nor Syrian officials confirm these reports. The IAF targets are described as the 155th, 65th and 92nd Brigades of the Syrian army and Hizballah, two Hizballah arms convoys and Syrian long-range missile bases or batteries. debkafile: The putative air strike may also have targeted Hizballah’s first ever airstrip for drones in the Lebanese Beqaa Valley.
How does sanctions-ridden Iran find a multibillion war chest to fund 6 armies fighting in 4 Mid East wars?
DEBKAfile Special Expose April 24, 2015
According to figures reaching debkafile in March, Iran is spending a vast fortune - up to an estimated $6-8 billion per year - to keep six armed forces fighting in four Middle East war campaigns for expanding its sphere of influence. Month after month, Tehran forks out close to half a billion dollars - and sometimes more - to keep those conflicts on the boil. How Iran manages to keep this war chest filled from an economy crippled by international sanctions has never been explained. debkafile has the details on how it is spent.
DEBKAfile Special Report March 4, 2015
Barack Obama’s Iran policy, spectacularly challenged by Binyamin Netanyahu in his Congress speech Tuesday, March 3, is manifested 10,000 kilometers from Washington, in the Iranian-led Iraqi battle for Tikrit. Gen. Martin Dempsey, Chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff commented that day that the “Tikrit campaign… the most overt conduct of Iranian support …could turn out to be a positive thing.” debkafile: This US-Iranian partnership, which is mirrored in Syria, is alarming Israeli military chiefs because it brings the Iranian peril closer than ever before.
Netanyahu tries to head off Iran’s machinations after Obama empowers Tehran as favored Mid East ally
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis March 1, 2015
Almost the last words Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu heard Sunday, March 1, when he took off for Washington to address Congress on Iran was: “Don’t do it!” They came from a group of 180 ex-IDF military officers who tried to stop the speech lest it damage relations with the US. debkafile: Their protest should be addressed to the White House where, for six years, Barack Obama has eroded those relations. Netanyahu’s speech is just a tardy attempt to check Iran’s malignant machinations which go forward without restraint.
Alongside negotiations with the US on a nuclear deal, Iran practices destroying American Gulf vessels
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 26, 2015
“Wiping out the American Navy in the Persian Gulf in a few hours,” was the object of the Revolutionary Guards naval exercise Wednesday, Feb. 25, according to guidelines laid down by Adm. Ali Fadavi, head of the Revolutionary Guards Navy, in a secret document, to which debkafile’s sources gained access. A replica of a US aircraft carrier was targeted as the symbol of US might – and not for the first time. On April 27, 2014, debkafile revealed Iran was building a mock-up of the USS Nimitz aircraft carrier for its war games last year too.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 13, 2015
The Islamic State’s elite unit wiped out the forward command group of the a commando force belonging to Iran’s Al Qods Brigades early Monday, Jan. 12, killing its commander, Gen. Mehdi Norouzi, at Hashimiyah north of Baghdad. debkafile exclusively reveals ISIS's new tactic of systematically taking down high Iranian officers to throw their forces into disarray. The jihadis affirm the deaths of 555 Iranian officers in four months. Israel’s deep concerns about ISIS effectiveness and close US-Iranian collaboration in Iraq were brushed aside in Washington.
Obama’s 2015 gift for Israel and Mid East: Funding for a new Iraqi army – dominated by Iran’s Rev Guards
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 1, 2015
President Obama’s New Year’s gift to Israel and the Mid-East: a multibillion fund for restoring the Iraqi army as a division of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards (IRGC). Its Dep. Com. Brig. Gen. Hossein Salami, said this week that Iran was assembling from the Shiite militias fighting in Syria and Iraq “an army larger even than the Lebanese Hizballah.” Obama’s financial and military assistance for this army commits the US to forging a strong military bond with Tehran and helping make Iran the foremost Mid East military power.
Iran spreads its war wings: Hizballah deepens role in Syria. Israel, Syria, Lebanon “regions of conflict”
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 10, 2014
In a policy makeover, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has decided to seal off in a separate policy compartment Iran’s nuclear diplomatic tactics for obtaining sanctions relief - and for dominating the Syrian war negotiations resuming in Geneva, Monday, Feb. 10 - and place Iran’s regional goals in another box. Alongside diplomacy, Al Qods Brigades chief Qassem Soleimani will execute Iran’s expanded regional interventions. Hizballah is already deepening its role in the Syrian civil war, while Lebanon, Syria and Israel are targeted by Tehran as “areas of conflict.”
DEBKAfile Special Report June 15, 2013
Iran’s leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei views Hassan Rouhani’s election as president as the opening for a more flexible approach on Iran’s nuclear controversy with the West. debkafile: Rouhani’s first task will be to draft a detailed plan setting boundaries for Iranian concessions to obtain the partial lifting of sanctions and restore the flow of oil revenues to the country’s empty coffers. This will bring the president-elect head on head with the Revolutionary Guards, who are already rumored in Tehran to be plotting his removal by a military putsch.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 26, 2012
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) has leapt into the Syrian battle arena, undertaking to transform Assad’s loyal Alawite Shabbiha militia into a new corps, retrained and reorganized on the model of the elite Al Qods Brigades. More than 2,200 Iranian military instructors have so far been airlifted into Syria along with up-to-date weapons for the newly trained militiamen. At the project's end, Bashar Assad – if he survives that long – will have a new highly-trained force of 50-60,000 elite troops, nucleus of a Syrian Revolutionary Guards Corps.
DEBKAfile Special Report December 6, 2011
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has placed the Revolutionary Guards on a war footing fearing an attack by the West and Israel on Iran's nuclear sites, the London Telegraph reports Dec. 6. They have redistributed the Shahab missiles to secret sites ready to launch retaliatory strikes; Guards units are scattered to preset defense lines and air force "rapid reaction units" are ready to respond to enemy air attack. By capturing the top-secret US RQ-170 spy drone, Iran gains a military edge before any overt strike begins.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 18, 2011
Exhaustive investigations into the deadly explosion of the Sejil-2 ballistic missile at the Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) Alghadir base last Saturday, Nov. 12 point increasingly to a technical fault caused by the computer system controlling the missile and not the missile itself. The head of Iran's ballistic missile program Maj. Gen. Hassan Moghaddam was among the 36 officers killed in the blast. debkafile: The IRGC is investigating the possible Stuxnet virus infection of this computer system as the cause of the explosion.
DEBKAfile DEBKA Weekly November 15, 2011
The first Western spy satellite images two days after the explosions at the Alghadir Revolutionary Guards base 45 km west of Tehran further deepen the mystery of their cause. The latest DEBKA-Net-Weekly out Friday proposes some intriguing answers. In seconds, the vast 52-square kilometer (20 sq. mile) area around the base was laid waste, as though ravaged by a nuclear blast – except for the absence of radioactivity. The Guards have placed the area off-limits and posted special operations units to bar entry.
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Iran loses top missile expert in explosions sparked by failed bid to fit nuclear warhead on Shahab-3
DEBKAfile Special Report November 12, 2011
Brig. Hassan Moghadam, head of Revolutionary Guards missile development and sections of Iran's nuclear program, was killed in the explosions that hit two IRGC bases 46 kilometers west of Tehran Saturday, Nov. 12. The official fatality figure was 32. The bases are located in Malard, a town in the Shahryar district. The Moadarres facility was the first to be hit, while the second and bigger blast occurred at Amir-al-Mo'menin where ambulances were denied entry due to its sensitivity.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 27, 2011
For the first time in the anti-Assad uprising, elements of Syria's popular protest movement are turning to armed revolt on lines similar to those marking the Libyan conflict, after discovering the regime's military crackdown is masterminded by Iranian Revolutionary Guards officers. Wednesday, April 27, armed civilians were seen for the first time, some carrying anti-tank weapons, in the Daraa district of the South and Banias and Jableh on the coast. Washington is preparing new sanctions against Damascus.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 26, 2010
The Special United Nations Tribunal (STL) for fixing responsibility for the assassination of former Lebanese premier Rafiq Hariri in February 2005 is now pointing the finger of suspicion not only at nine high-ranking Hizballah officials but also their overlords, members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards.