DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis April 2, 2016
At a news conference Friday, April 1, at the end of the nuclear summit, Barack Obama demanded more Western trade benefits for Iran – despite its “provocative” actions. debkafile: Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has forced President Hassan Rouhani to earmark 50 percent of funds released by sanctions relief for those same “provocative” actions – namely, Iran’s nuclear and missile programs. If he fails to keep the money flowing, he risks fate of a “traitor” and doomed to extreme penalties.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 31, 2016
A North Korean sales delegation spent two weeks in Tehran this month for negotiating nuclear and missiles transactions. This time Pyongyang wants cash not just an oil commitment, but Tehran is making an effort to come up with the funds.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 17, 2016
Tehran is offering North Korea up to $10bn released by lifted sanctions to buy the North Korean nuclear warheads that are small enough to fit on its ballistic missiles.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 10, 2016
Iran refuses to discontinue its nuclear-capable ballistic missile tests, in the face of the threat of new US sanctions and has daubed on one of its weapons the slogan “Israel must be wiped off the face of the earth.”
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 21, 2016
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards had no sooner agreed to release US hostages in a prisoner swap than three more were captured in Baghdad to keep the hostage card in play for squeezing Washington to part with more nuclear concessions.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 21, 2016
Zarif extracted concessions on centrifuges from Kerry as the six foreign ministers waited ready in Vienna, hour after hour, to declare the nuclear accord in force and start lifting sanctions.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 14, 2016
Until the very last minute before the Friday date for lifting sanctions, Iran has avoided implementing all its commitments under the November nuclear accord, bar one – notably failing to decommission the Arab heavy water reactor.
DEBKAfile Special Report December 16, 2015
After two tries, US Secretary of State John Kerry finally turned President Barack Obama away from his insistence that Bashar Assad must go before the Syrian conflict can end. Tuesday night, Dec. 15, the Secretary announced in Moscow: “The United States and our partners are not seeking so-called regime change.” debkafile: Washington yielded to Moscow three days before a major international conference on Syria takes place in New York. But the US also yielded to Tehran, when the UN nuclear watchdog's board in Vienna closed its investigation into whether Iran sought atomic weapons.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 12, 2015
President Rouhani is losing his fight to stop Khamenei and his hard-line camp from reneging on the Vienna nuclear accord, especially since he can’t prove that sanctions relief, even if forthcoming in full, would not save the Iranian economy from catastrophe.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 15, 2015
The Iranian parliament “tailored” the nuclear accord to give Tehran free rein to resume its nuclear program in full or hold out for more concessions.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 10, 2015
Israel drones have been upgraded with Japanese technology to see into the cores of nuclear plants and collect samples. The data and radioactive dust found in undeclared Iranian nuclear plants have been handed to the US and the nuclear watchdog.
DEBKAfile Special Report August 10, 2015
US sources report that the Israeli Air Force may give up on the US Boeing’s KC-46A Pegasus as its future refueling tanker for long-range flights because of delays in its delivery. To retain the option of attacking Iran’s nuclear facilities after Barack Obama’s exit from office in Jan. 2017, Israel can’t wait for the Pegasus. Israel Aerospace Industries is therefore working at top speed to convert the Boeing 767, a long-range, wide-body, twin-engine jet airliner with a range of 7,000 to 11,000 km. into a refueling tanker, to replace the outdated Boeing 707.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 16, 2015
Khamenei didn’t need a nuke to get what he wanted from the world powers. The threat posed by an elaborate nuclear program was enough for him to parlay into world-class status as a nuclear threshold state.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis July 15, 2015
The Netanyahu government, like Saudi Arabia and Egypt, can only beat their heads futilely against the iron wall Barack Obama has built for Iran with the nuclear accord the six powers signed in Vienna Tuesday, July 14. Israel has the most to lose. It has been downgraded from its favored status in Washington and replaced by Iran. By this big geopolitical step, the US President has shifted the ground in the region, not only dumping Israel but the Arab world as a whole - and, incidentally, the Palestinians as well.
DEBKAfile Special Report July 14, 2015
In broad lines, the final nuclear deal, reached between six world powers and Iran in Vienna on Tuesday, July 14 - after repeated hold-ups - grants Tehran sanctions relief in exchange for curbs on its nuclear program. debkafile: The accord is a triumph for President Barack Obama’s policy of orienting US foreign policy on a rapprochement with Iran, while turning a cold shoulder to America’s traditional Middle East allies, Israel and Saudi Arabia. It anoints Tehran as leading regional power with its nuclear program intact – a major fiasco for Binyamin Netanyahu.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis July 13, 2015
US presidential frontrunner Hillary Clinton holds the key to the Democratic Senate vote on the nuclear deal after its announcement in Vienna later Monday, July 13. The Republicans will oppose it, but a majority for annulling the presidential veto depends on 13 Democrats crossing the floor. Iran is ready for this with draft legislation empowering the Majlis to annul the deal if US compliance is deemed unsatisfactory. So the Iranian parliament is pitted against the US Senate and, by implication, Hillary Clinton is in the driving seat versus Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
Back in Tehran… Khamenei adds red lines, Rouhani tries to resign, Jaafari hints at “fait accompli” soon
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 12, 2015
Tehran is divided over whether or not to sign a comprehensive nuclear accord with the six world powers in Vienna as 22 agonizing months of negotiations falter on the brink. Supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was hardly helpful when he said publicly on Saturday, July 11: “The US is the true embodiment of global arrogance,” the fight against which “could not be interrupted” even after the completion of the nuclear talks. But President Rouhani, on the point of resigning on June 26, failed in an heated interview to talk him round.
DEBKAfile Special Report July 9, 2015
European Union Foreign Executive Federica Mogherini is quoted by debkafile’s intelligence sources as shouting at Iran’s Foreign Minister Mohamed Javad Zarif: “If that’s where you stand it’s a pity to waste any more time!” Jarif is quoted as snapping back: “Don’t threaten us!” This exchange took place Wednesday night, July 8, after the second deadline had passed without a final deal. The US delegation led by Secretary of State John Kerry is said to have sat without moving a muscle. But Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stepped in to cool tempers.
Zarif returns to Vienna with top Iranian nuclear elite. Israel fears nuclear deal signing is imminent
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 30, 2015
Iran’s Foreign Minister Mohamed Javad Zarif was on his way from Tehran to Vienna Tuesday, June 30, accompanied by two government heavyweights: Ali Akhbar Salehi, Chairman of the Nuclear Energy Commission, and Hossein Feredydoon, senior adviser to President Hassan Rouhani. debkafile: Israel fears that this high-powered Iranian representation portends a “surprise” signing of the comprehensive nuclear deal with the world powers on or close to the deadline day, after word of delays was deliberately spread to head off objections..
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 29, 2015
When Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu said Sunday, June 28: “We are seeing a clear retreat from the red lines that the world powers set recently and publicly,” he meant three major US concessions approved in the days leading up to a nuclear deal with Iran: debkafile discloses The US no longer holds Iran accountable for past clandestine nuclear weapons tests; has empowered Tehran to permit or bar international inspections; and set out unconditional sanctions relief in three tight stages. Obama’s pledge to “snap back” sanctions for violations is history.