DEBKAfile Special Report March 18, 2014, 11:16 AM (GMT+02:00)
President Vladimir Putin approved a draft treaty between Crimea and Moscow on the breakaway region’s “reunification with Russia” Tuesday, March 18. He formally notified the Russian parliament of Crimea’s application to join Russia as a new federal republic. Monday, the US and EU imposed relatively mild sanctions – travel bans and a freeze on assets - on Russian and Ukrainian officials after condemning the Crimean referendum as illegal. The White House warned sanctions would be broadened if Russia took more steps. Putin has defied that warning.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 7, 2014, 1:04 AM (GMT+02:00)
Netanyahu persuaded Obama to back Israel’s raid on an Iranian missile ship to improve his soft image and possibly deter Putin from further military action in Ukraine.
Ukraine calls up reserves against Russia. Putin spurns Obama’s call to de-escalate with fallout on Mid East
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis March 2, 2014, 2:22 PM (GMT+02:00)
The US-EU tactic of turning the heat on Moscow instead of Kiev is proving futile and a strategic blunder stemming from weakness, more likely to spark real violence and bloodshed. US President Barack Obama’s call to Vladimir Putin to de-escalate the tension and pull his troops out of Crimea went unheeded. So Kiev mobilized a million military reservists and put the Ukraine army on a war footing, without the resources for feeding or arming them. Putin was encouraged to forge ahead with his plans until the interim government falls – or talks.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 28, 2014, 12:16 AM (GMT+02:00)
Crimea is Russia’s main springboard for Putin’s Mid East strategy. Kerry’s last-ditch phone call to Lavrov may avert a Russian military operation – but at a steep price for Kiev and the West.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 28, 2014, 12:16 AM (GMT+02:00)
The European wire-pullers misjudged the unrest in Kiev and let it go too far. They had planned a pro-EU unity government working with Yanukovych – not to oust him.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 31, 2014, 12:56 AM (GMT+02:00)
The Russians withdraw Putin’s aid promise to Yanukovych to avoid another Orange Revolution, however strategically and economically Ukraine is to Moscow.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 11, 2013, 1:12 AM (GMT+02:00)
Vladimir Putin has begun pressing the case for divesting the Middle East of WMD and co-opting Barack Obama to the cause. He says Israel is so technologically advanced that it doesn’t need nuclear arms
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 19, 2013, 1:11 AM (GMT+02:00)
US and EU diplomats arriving in Cairo barely received a hearing from Egypt’s generals. From Syrian rebels the US and the West heard bitter recriminations about their desertion.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis July 17, 2013, 12:15 PM (GMT+02:00)
To avoid a head-on clash with Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, President Barack Obama set loose the Europeans in full cry against Jerusalem and its policies, by timing their new guidelines with John Kerry’s arrival in Amman. EU foreign affairs executive Catherine Ashton chairs the international negotiating forum with Iran. And so, the EU, with backing from Washington, gives Tehran a broad wink that a fresh round of nuclear diplomacy is worth their while now that Israel is on the run in the settlements-cum-borders dispute.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 30, 2013, 11:44 PM (GMT+02:00)
Moscow’s strong military momentum on Bashar Assad’s behalf includes the positioning of Russian troops within easy reach of Syria. But are Russian missiles a match for the Israeli Air Force? Only real combat can provide the answer.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 16, 2012, 8:30 PM (GMT+02:00)
Iran has finished transferring all its uranium enrichment plant to Fordo, placing it in an “immune zone,” against bombardment. In so doing, Tehran beat the clock before President Barack Obama faces presidential contender Mitt Romney in a foreign policy debate and responded to the EU's tightened sanctions against its nuclear program. debkafile: Iran plans to go forward next and convert its centrifuges from 20 percent to 60 percent enrichment of uranium, a short step before the 90 percent weapons grade.
DEBKAfile Special Report July 1, 2012, 9:58 AM (GMT+02:00)
The European oil embargo taking effect Sunday, July 1 blocks the sale to EU members of one-third of Iran’s daily output of 3.3 million barrels a day. From now on, EU insurance firms withhold cover from governments and firms operating tankers delivering Iranian oil. The embargo was clamped down after diplomatic efforts failed to halt Iran’s nuclear weapon program. Gulf armies led by Saudi Arabia are on alert for reprisals. Two oil pipelines have been activated to bypass the Strait of Hormuz if it is blocked.
DEBKAfile Special Report May 21, 2012, 11:02 AM (GMT+02:00)
On the return flight to Moscow, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov filled in the space left by his Prime Minister Dmitri Medvadev’s silence at the G8 summit Saturday, May 20 with a large dose of skepticism on Iran.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 11, 2012, 12:09 AM (GMT+02:00)
Francois Hollande is stuck with an unrealistic pre-election policy which he will have to tone down for an accommodation with Chancellor Angela Merkel whose financial backing he needs to put the French economy on an even keel.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 20, 2012, 12:20 AM (GMT+02:00)
President Barack Obama's proposals are primed to pre-empt war as his first priority before even pre-empting a nuclear Iran. The deal he is offering Tehran will be hard to refuse because it virtually relieves its nuclear program of effective international oversight. Tehran is nonetheless holding out for an end to sanctions.
DEBKAfile Special Report February 15, 2012, 5:17 PM (GMT+02:00)
Shrugging off Western sanctions and Israeli recriminations, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad played a starring role in a widely televised spectacle by inserting his country’s first domestically-made fuel rod into the Tehran Research Reactor Wednesday, Feb. 15. The scene came after the announced cutoff of Iranian oil exports to six European countries - Netherlands, Spain, Italy, France, Greece and Portugal. Two hours later, the Iranian oil ministry challenged the announcement, spoiling the show by showing up differences in high regime ranks.
DEBKAfile Special Report January 24, 2012, 3:10 PM (GMT+02:00)
The new round of European sanctions will not stop Iran's pursuit of a nuclear weapon, Israel's Defense Minister Ehud Barak warned in a radio interview Tuesday, Jan. 24. debkafile: The Obama administration and EU delayed oil sanctions to July 1 for back-channel contacts to ripen and produce a fresh round of nuclear talks with Tehran. Barak stressed Israel's hand was always near the trigger and advised taking "very seriously" Israel's military option which had not been taken off the table.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 23, 2012, 5:57 PM (GMT+02:00)
India is the first buyer of Iranian oil to agree to pay for its purchases in gold instead of the US dollar, debkafile reports exclusively. Our sources expect China to follow suit. India and China take about one million barrels per day, or 40 percent of Iran's total exports of 2.5 million bpd. Both will therefore substantially cushion the impact on the Iranian economy of the European decision of Monday, Jan. 22, to impose an oil embargo on Iran and freeze the assets of its central bank.
DEBKAfile Special Report August 30, 2011, 9:32 AM (GMT+02:00)
Monday night and Tuesday, Aug-29-30, three international heavyweights - Russia, the European Union and key Muslim nations – gave Syrian President Bashar Assad tough ultimatums for ending his barbaric crackdown on protest. Nevertheless, on Monday, his troops shot dead 17 people in Syrian cities - even as he received Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov who arrived in Damascus with a last warning from President Dmitry Medvedev. Pushed into a tight corner, Assad may opt for war on his neighbors.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 10, 2011, 11:06 PM (GMT+02:00)
First Obama drafted five military options, leaving the impression of a NATO intervention, and then turned his back on the Libyan conflict as Muammar Qaddafi gained ground.