DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis March 14, 2015
Yitzhak Herzog, co-leader of the opposition Zionist Camp party, is tabbed by the polls as Binyamin Netanyahu’s credible successor. However, the same credibility does not extend to his four pledges to the voter ahead of the March 17 election - though sincere. If elected, Herzog vowed in his first 100 days as prime minister to lead the campaign to bring down the prohibitive cost of housing; mend Israel’s relations with the United States, i.e. Barack Obama; revive peace talks with the Palestinians; and create a “regional platform” for Israel’s foreign relations.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 12, 2015
Disaffection with US-Iranian nuclear diplomacy has spilled over into the Iranian street and raised hackles too in Moscow, Berlin, Paris and Washington.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 12, 2015
The opposition Zionist Camp led by Yitzhak Herzog is consistently ahead of Netanyahu’s Likud in opinion polls, although not by much. But Likud is in grave danger of losing the March 17 election although Netanyahu and Herzog will vie for a majority coalition government. Netanyahu’s possible fall is already gladdening hearts in the White House.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis March 12, 2015
Five days before Israel’s voting day, Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu looks weary and, behind his controlled façade, shocked to discover that his Likud may actually be thrown out of office on March 17. Yitzhak Herzog’s rival Zionist Camp is overtaking Likud in the opinion polls – not by much but consistently. When the gap reached four Knesset seats this week, Netanyahu bestirred himself to go stumping across the country. He hasn’t lost the race yet, but he will need to pull out all the stops and a rabbit out of his hat to push ahead.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 5, 2015
Obama and Netanyahu will continue to bicker amid uncertainty about whether Khamenei will actually sign the done nuclear deal between US and Iranian negotiators.
In his US Congress speech, Netanyahu did not urge scrapping nuclear accord – only making it a lot tougher for Iran
DEBKAfile Special Report March 3, 2015
In the 40-minute speech Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu delivered to a joint session of the US Congress Tuesday, May 3, he listed the iniquities of the “dark, dictatorial Islamic regime” in Tehran, and criticized the nuclear deal in negotiation as marking the “countdown to a nuclear nightmare” that would threaten not just Israel but the world. He proposed “making it better” by confronting Iran with three provisos: Give up aggression and state-sponsored terror and stop threatening Israel with annihilation. His speech to a packed chamber was interrupted by 40 standing ovations and long cheers.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 3, 2015
What Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has not spelled out in his unrelenting campaign against a deal that would allow Iran nuclear threshold status is this scenario: It would leave Tehran the freedom to choose when to build a single nuclear bomb or device, that could be dropped over the Mediterranean from a civilian airliner and trigger a tsumani for wiping out the Tel Aviv conurbation. The giant wave would kill an estimated one million people and wipe out the Israeli heartland, financial and business centers, military headquarters and hi-tech industry.
Netanyahu tries to head off Iran’s machinations after Obama empowers Tehran as favored Mid East ally
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis March 1, 2015
Almost the last words Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu heard Sunday, March 1, when he took off for Washington to address Congress on Iran was: “Don’t do it!” They came from a group of 180 ex-IDF military officers who tried to stop the speech lest it damage relations with the US. debkafile: Their protest should be addressed to the White House where, for six years, Barack Obama has eroded those relations. Netanyahu’s speech is just a tardy attempt to check Iran’s malignant machinations which go forward without restraint.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 26, 2015
Binyamin Netanyahu is fighting against a nuclear-armed Iran because of its plan to desolate the Israeli heartland and drown a million Israelis by means of a tsunami triggered by a single nuclear bomb dropped in mid-Meterranean.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 26, 2015
Egypt and Israel are left out on a limb by the Saudi king Salman’s defection to supporting the Muslim Brotherhood and dialogue with Ankara, rather than helping Cairo to stand up to the new ISIS threat from next-door Libya and backing Egypt and Israel against Iran.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis February 22, 2015
The US and Iran are in a last-ditch effort to rescue their nuclear diplomacy before it falls into deep crisis. Some observers say the talks are beyond saving. The Obama administration may have hit the limit of its concessions; and Iran won’t give way on centrifuges and enriched uranium stocks. debkafile finds the US, Iran and Israel in a three-way race, each aiming for a different finishing line. Washington wants a nuclear deal in the bag by March 31; Tehran aims for June; while Binyamin Netanyahu nixes the existing US-Iranian draft.
Information about the US-Iranian nuclear dialogue is no longer “sensitive.” For Obama it’s a done deal
DEBKAfile Special Report February 17, 2015
Accusing Binyamin Netanyahu of leaking “sensitive” information on US nuclear negotiations with Iran skews the fact of an almost done deal between US President Barack Obama and Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani. It wants only Iran’s paramount leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei endorsement. In attempting to bring him round, Washington is using media spin tactics which Netanyahu’s opponents have seized on to accuse him of sabotaging relations with Washington. Netanyahu is not alone in objecting to Obama’s Iran policy. So too do the Saudis, some Gulf emirates and Egypt.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis February 14, 2015
The scandals and slurs his rivals floated against the Netanyahu couple ahead of March 17 voting-day have become boomerangs. Likud is lengthening its lead in the polls, as once determined non-voters rally around the victims. The early opposition slogan: “Just not him,” made way this week for: “It’s either Likud or them” - after the prime minister successfully harnessed the social media to reach new voters. His rivals’ bid for the premiership is now a scramble for top posts in Netanyahu’s next government. Still, 30 days of hard campaign are still ahead.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 12, 2015
Fighting ISIS is Part II of Obama’s master plan, which is to first give Iran major concessions on a nuclear deal and a free rein in the Middle East – then dump the Islamist war in the ayatollahs’ laps.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 5, 2015
Iran is putting the first interlocking pieces in place for its Shiite Crescent empire in Anbar, Iraq and the Qalamoun Mountains of western Syria. Israel is the fly in the Syrian ointment.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis January 22, 2015
President Barack Obama offered two options for resolving the Iranian nuclear impasse: His administration’s diplomatic engagement, or a new Mid East war. Neither the US Congress nor Israel accepts the Obama formula. Israel decided to strike an Iranian-Hizballah military convoy on Golan, causing the death of an Iranian general. This provided Senate sanctions initiatives with military muscle. House Speaker John Boehner responded by inviting Binyamin Netanyahu to address Congress on Feb. 11 on Iranian nuclear and radical Islamic threats. Between now and then, none of the parties may stand idle.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis January 3, 2015
Opinion polls conducted by party strategists have persuaded Likud leader Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu (23-24 seats predicted) and opposition leader, Yitzhak Herzog of Labor (estimated 20-22), to discuss sharing government after the March 17 election. This is reported by debkafile. It would push the small parties to the fringes and eliminate their bargaining power. A too-close-to call outcome of the vote could result in Netanyahu and Herzog agreeing to rotate the premiership. Their mutually trusted back-door go-between is revealed here as the Labor leader’s brother, Mike Herzog.
Is Obama ready for an about-face to recognize Assad? Will Syria provide the strike force against ISIS?
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 14, 2014
Unconfirmed reports swirled around Arab capitals Sunday, Dec. 14, that President Barack Obama, in league with Moscow and Tehran, had turned his Syrian policy on its head to recognize Bashar Assad’s rule. He was said ready to accept the Syrian army as the backbone of the force battling the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant. If true, the Middle East faces another strategic upheaval – and one in the eye for Israel and the Gulf. US-Russian cooperation on Syria and Palestinians would help overcome the Ukraine breach and expand US-Iranian rapprochement.
Which slogan will carry Israel’s election? Pledges of affordable housing or security against terror?
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis December 12, 2014
Five major blocs are emerging at the outset of Israel’s election campaign: right, left, center, religious and Arab. Yitzhak Herzog of Labor promises to form the next government after hitching up with former Justice Minister Tzipi Livni of Hatnuah. But private party polls place the couple only third or fourth in the coming election. The only fresh face in the race is Moshe Kahlan, late of Likud, who this week established his Kulanu (All of Us) party. The ultra-religious Shas is about to split with Ellie Yishay quitting to form a new religious party.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 6, 2014
The Saudi, UAE and Egyptian rulers are acting to finally unravel the effects of Barack Obama’s “Arab Spring” and extinguish the Muslim Brotherhood and other elements he supported for overturning conservative regimes. debkafile: These Arab rulers have found a key ally in Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, who used the chance of an epic breakthrough in relations with leading Arab nations, with immediate and far-reaching effect on Israel’s security and standing in the region. He has not so far exposed this feat in campaigning for re-election.