DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 19, 2015
The Saudis and Gulf are pulling the financial rug from under Amman for playing ball with Tehran at US instigation. Israel may also withdraw its shield from the royal family.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 19, 2015
The Obama administration has embarked on a bid to come to terms with Bashar Assad to lure Tehran into signing a nuclear accord. An end to the Syrian war would disburden Iran of its colossal ongoing investment in keeping Assad in power.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 26, 2015
Obama and Salman have little in common except for their shared affinity for the Muslim Brotherhood. The new king appears to prefer Turkey to Egypt as a close ally.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 10, 2014
Shortly before President Barack Obama was to unveil his strategy for tackling ISIS in Iraq and Syria Wednesday, Sept. 10, US and Syrian officers held secret talks for coordinating their military efforts in Syria against the common foe, debkafile reveals exclusively. The Syrian officers, on the authority of President Bashar Assad, met on the quiet several times with American officers in the capital of one of the Gulf emirates – probably Muscat in Oman. The Syrian side of the US campaign is judged to be more complicated than the operation in Iraq.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 29, 2014
While Obama works with Iran to fight Islamists, he faces a rival bloc doing the same in Egypt, Saudi Arabia in Israel. But will he be willing to take Hizballah and Iran as partners and part of the deal?
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 14, 2014
Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El Sisi tries to convince Putin to join the Israel-Saudi-Egypt alliance against US policy in the Mid East and bolster Assad as an anti Al Qaeda force.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 11, 2014
Syrian and Hizballah troops – commanded by Iranians – are close to taking the city of Aleppo and the whole of Idlib Province, a major strategic gain against anti-regime rebels.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 27, 2014
Iran’s dream of a Shiite Crescent ranging from Bahrain to Beirut was shattered by ISIS in Iraq.
Homs falls to Assad: UN, Iranian officers secure Syrian rebels’ exit after Iranian hostages freed in Aleppo
DEBKAfile Special Report May 7, 2014
A joint UN observer-Iranian military team began evacuating 2,000 Syrian rebels and their families from the Old City of Homs Wednesday, May 7 ending the Syrian army’s brutal two-year siege. It was another major victory for President Bashar Assad. As a rebel on his way out put it to Western reporters, “The rest of the world failed us.” That the UN needed Iranian aid to accomplish this rescue attested to Tehran’s dominant role in Damascus – even greater than that of Russia - and the Revolutionary Guards’ control over Syrian and Hizballah military forces.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis April 26, 2014
In his three years as AMAN chief, Maj. Gen. Aviv Kochavi, just appointed OC Northern Command, was credited with enhancing the corps’ operational capabilities. But, on the debit side, he made three major miscalculations: He overrated the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood’s life expectancy, underrated Bashar Assad’s chances of survival; and did not recommend that Israel halt Hizballah’s military intervention in the Syrian War. Kochavi shared his second mistake with Prince Bandar, who paid for it by his replacement as Director of Saudi Intelligence on April 15.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 25, 2014
Hizballlah leader Hassan Nasrallah seeks the role of key to resolving the Syrian civil conflict and the Obama administration in deference to that role has launched a secret dialogue with the Lebanese group.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 22, 2014
Syrian rebels have been sighted wielding anti-aircraft weapons in various combat sectors in the last few days. Just as on April 6 debkafile was the first publication to disclose the supply of US weapons - BGM-71 TOW anti-tank missiles – to certain Syrian rebel militias, our military sources now reveal the delivery of Russian-made 9K310 Igla-1 aka SA-16 anti-aircraft rockets, whose operational range is 5.2 km. While the rebels can now hit Syrian assault aircraft for the first time, the new systems comes too late to turn the tide of war.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report April 10, 2014
Assad moves fast to extend his military dominance over the south after discovering rebels backed by the US, Israel and Jordan taking over borderlands including the Golan.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 21, 2014
When he visits Riyadh this month, Obama has little hope of Saudi forgiveness for the Arab spring and its repercussions, but may reach limited understanding on Syria.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report March 13, 2014
Assad owes his nine lives and survivability to his army’s loyalty and the husbanding of his military resources and fire power for defending his regime.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis February 16, 2014
Israel’s strategists have found a new cause for disquiet. On top of concern over the concentration of al Qaeda fighting strength around its borders, they are beginning to worry about Russian President Vladimir Putin capitalizing on America’s withdrawal from the Middle East, by means of military pacts with Syrian President Bashar Assad and Egypt's Gen. Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi. Since Egypt’s economic woes are incurable, El-Sisi plans to build a strong regime with Russian and Saudi support and lead a pan-Arab nationalist movement – potentially versus Israel.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 7, 2014
Riyadh demands a fence-mending summit for the king and Obama while flying in Washington’s face on the Muslim Brotherhood, Syria, Iran and Egypt.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report February 5, 2014
The second round of the Geneva II conference on the Syrian conflict opens Monday, Feb. 10 – this time with a seat at the table for the Iranian delegation provided by Washington, debkafile reports exclusively. Last week the US banned Iranian participation. Washington’s turnabout now was relayed to the Iranian officials at the secret alternative conference taking place unannounced in Bern, where the real business is contracted – not at Montreux. The US has thus awarded Iran major power status for the first time at an international event determining an important Mid East issue.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 31, 2014
“The biggest diplomatic fraud in a decade" was how one Syria watcher called Geneva-2 which was staged as an exercise in misdirection to conceal the real conference in Bern with Iran at center stage.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 24, 2014
The delegation to Geneva 2 representing Bashar Assad holds most of the levers and will make sure that there is no resolution suggesting his removal. Iran denies accepting any dismantling of its nuclear infrastructure, and Kerry misses a visit to Israel and the Palestinians.