Hollande, Obama lack the troops and will for total war on ISIS. Mid East rulers are even more reluctant
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis November 16, 2015
When French President Francois Hollande declared war on ISIS and called the attack in Paris an “act of war,” he gave the terrorist organization’s leader Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi an unexpected boost: respect as a head of state. US President Barack Obama was more cautious, declaring at the G-20 summit in Antalya that his country and France would fight together against terror, without specifying how. That is because no ruler of any Muslim country has dared declare total war on ISIS, or wants to do so, and no Arab army is able or willing to undertake this war.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 12, 2015
Two days after Obama and Netanyahu reached understandings on Syria, the Israeli Air force struck near Damascus, targeting Iran and shaking the Assad regime. This was a challenge to Putin and a test of those new understandings.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 12, 2015
The well-choreographed Obama-Netanyahu summit went swimmingly. They agreed to go back to close intelligence ties and the president was receptive to Israel’s concerns regarding the threats emanating from Syria, and the complication of the Russian military presence.
DEBKAfile Special Report November 9, 2015
ISIS carried out a terrorist attack in Jordan on Monday, Nov. 9, just hours before Prime Minister Netanyahu and President Obama met for talks at the White House in Washington. Since the two leaders concur on the rising threat posed by ISIS, it can be assumed that a significant portion of their meeting centered on the news of the attack in Jordan, in which two American trainers, a South African and two Jordanians were killed - and its implications.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis November 8, 2015
Israeli Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu meets President Barack Obama at the White House on Monday, Nov. 9, after four grave setbacks: Deepenng Russian and Iranian military intervention in Syria inching up to Israel’s borders; Bashar Assad’s survival against all predictions; the strengthening of the Islamic State; and a deadly Palestinian terror campaign pervading the country. Even if they agree on Israel’s security needs in the coming years and the scale of US military aid, Middle East volatility may quickly obviate all forecasts.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 5, 2015
The contest between America and Russia has begun, joined by three other combatants.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 29, 2015
ISIS was no more impressed by Russia’s military intervention that it was by US military assaults. Its war gains remain intact and seemingly unthreatened from any quarter.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report October 1, 2015
Nine joint commands form the backbone of the Russian-Iranian-Syrian-Iraqi war machine and cover all aspects of collaboration for a full-scale war. Iran and Russian worked out the details while nuclear negotiations were still in progress.
DEBKAfile Special Report September 30, 2015
That Russia launched its first air strikes in Syria Wednesday, Sept. 30 was confirmed by the Russian Defense Ministry in Moscow and criticized by US officials. Moscow stressed that it acted in support of Bashar Assad’s war on the Islamic State, assisted by other foreign powers including Iran and Iraq. They were working together from an allied command center in Baghdad. The Russian communiqués did not indicate which organizations were bombed around Homs and Hama..
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 6, 2015
Three agents bear direct responsibility for the genocidal Syrian war – and the refugee crisis: Bashad Assad, Iran and Russia; and the fourth, the US, by dereliction. Israel stayed out of it, except for supporting a rebel-held strip of southern Syria as a buffer against Iranian, Hizballah or Syrian army encroachment on its northern borders. More than 1,000 wounded Syrian rebels and civilians were treated in Israeli hospitals. Now, too, the Netanyahu government has determined to stay clear of the Syrian refugee crisis. for a number of reasons.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 4, 2015
The crowing over Barack Obama’s success in gaining congressional support for his Iranian nuclear deal against Binyamin Netanyahu’s defeat is premature. The Vienna nuclear deal of June 14 was the first round of the game. More are still to come, before either can be said to have won or lost. The biggest hurdle is Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s silence on where he stands, except for insisting on immediate sanctions relief. Netanyahu and AIPAC are fully fired up to take their campaign against a nuclear-armed Iran to the next stage: the fight over sanctions.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 3, 2015
Salman and Obama put their Iranian gas deal quarrel behind them to discuss oil prices, the Syrian and Yemen wars, and US contractors taking over mega-development projects in the oil kingdom.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis August 29, 2015
Ongoing world power talks on ways to stop ISIS are stumped, as they move next week from Moscow to Washington. Vladimir Putin last week offered three worried Arab leaders nuclear reactors and other aid, but in plans for ending the Syrian war - on which they pinned high hopes – no silver bullet was found for stopping the inexorable Islamist advance. When Barack Obama meets Saudi King Salman in Washington next week, he will not find a customer to buy his reliance on Iran, which has failed to pull the anti-terror wagon out of the mud.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 27, 2015
The Kurds, believing that Obama doesn’t see what’s going on in the region, have despaired of US support on their existential fight against ISIS in Iraq, and may turn to Iran or Turkey for support.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 20, 2015
As Obama fights for congressional approval of the Iran nuclear deal, Khamenei keeps the document moving around regime institutions without showing any sign of intending to endorse it.
DEBKAfile Special Report August 18, 2015
Six Russian MiG-31 Foxhound interceptor aircraft from Moscow landed Tuesday, Aug. 18, at the Mezze Airbase in Damascus international airport, debkafile discloses. They were followed shortly after by giant An-124 Condor transports carrying 1,000 Kornet-9M133 third-generation anti-tank guided missiles. This airlift to Damascus betokens Moscow’s continued support for the Syrian ruler against peace plans currently afloat which all entail his removal, and is a move to block US-Turkish plans for a no-fly zone over Syria or any other direct intervention.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 13, 2015
The US, Russia and Iran combine to launch a new Middle East venture for resolving current conflicts in ways that are expedient to all three. The Saudis prefer their own path and choices.
DEBKAfile Special Report August 10, 2015
US sources report that the Israeli Air Force may give up on the US Boeing’s KC-46A Pegasus as its future refueling tanker for long-range flights because of delays in its delivery. To retain the option of attacking Iran’s nuclear facilities after Barack Obama’s exit from office in Jan. 2017, Israel can’t wait for the Pegasus. Israel Aerospace Industries is therefore working at top speed to convert the Boeing 767, a long-range, wide-body, twin-engine jet airliner with a range of 7,000 to 11,000 km. into a refueling tanker, to replace the outdated Boeing 707.
Russia and US woo Saudis to help save Assad - albeit putting Israel and Jordan in danger from S. Syria
DEBKAfile Special Report August 9, 2015
Building on the nuclear accord, the Obama administration has been in close communion with Moscow and Tehran on moves to save the Assad regime as the key to ending the Syrian conflict and a united front against the Islamic State. This initiative was to have peaked at the Doha foreign ministers’ meeting on Aug. 3, except that it was blocked by Saudi refusal to acknowledge Assad. The US and Russia hope to change Riyadh’s mind when Foreign Minister Adel Al-Jubeir visits Moscow on Aug. 11. But then, Israel and Jordan would face great peril from southern Syria.