DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 26, 2015
Believing he was cheated by Obama, Putin has joined up with Tehran to seize control of Syria and Iraq at the expense of American interests.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 12, 2015
President Rouhani is losing his fight to stop Khamenei and his hard-line camp from reneging on the Vienna nuclear accord, especially since he can’t prove that sanctions relief, even if forthcoming in full, would not save the Iranian economy from catastrophe.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 5, 2015
The contest between America and Russia has begun, joined by three other combatants.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 10, 2015
Israel drones have been upgraded with Japanese technology to see into the cores of nuclear plants and collect samples. The data and radioactive dust found in undeclared Iranian nuclear plants have been handed to the US and the nuclear watchdog.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 10, 2015
Al Qaeda’s Ayman Al-Zawahri, after three years’ silence, has offered to cooperate with ISIS, stepping in as fundamentalist voices in Tehran call for talks with the Islamic State. Who will get there first?
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 4, 2015
The crowing over Barack Obama’s success in gaining congressional support for his Iranian nuclear deal against Binyamin Netanyahu’s defeat is premature. The Vienna nuclear deal of June 14 was the first round of the game. More are still to come, before either can be said to have won or lost. The biggest hurdle is Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s silence on where he stands, except for insisting on immediate sanctions relief. Netanyahu and AIPAC are fully fired up to take their campaign against a nuclear-armed Iran to the next stage: the fight over sanctions.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 20, 2015
As Obama fights for congressional approval of the Iran nuclear deal, Khamenei keeps the document moving around regime institutions without showing any sign of intending to endorse it.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 17, 2015
Al Qods commander Gen. Qassem Soleimani, acting on the orders of Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, this week set up a new Iranian Eastern Command of the Revolutionary Guards to fight Israel, debkafile reports exclusively. Its first task is to hand out weapons, including missiles, to West Bank Palestinians, in order to replicate the armed fronts facing Israel from South Lebanon (Hizballah) and the Gaza Strip (Hamas and Islamic Jihad). Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas is preparing to pay his first visit to Tehran in many years.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report August 3, 2015
With US Secretary of State John Kerry due in Qatar Monday, Aug. 3, to ease Gulf security concerns about the Vienna nuclear accord with Iran, the highest authorities in Tehran Sunday, Aug. 2, launched a public campaign in support of impending ballistic missile tests. This would flaunt Tehran’s non-acceptance of their prohibition under the Vienna nuclear accord and UN Security Council Resolution 2231 of July 20. The students of nine Tehran universities and Qom seminaries called on army chief Maj Gen. Hassan Firouzabadi, to immediately stage long-range ballistic missile tests to invalidate the ban..
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 30, 2015
Khamenei, before ratifying the nuclear deal, shuts Iran’s doors to business with US firms, hands out gas concessions to Italy and France, oil and nuclear industry to Russia, refineries to China.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 16, 2015
Khamenei didn’t need a nuke to get what he wanted from the world powers. The threat posed by an elaborate nuclear program was enough for him to parlay into world-class status as a nuclear threshold state.
Back in Tehran… Khamenei adds red lines, Rouhani tries to resign, Jaafari hints at “fait accompli” soon
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 12, 2015
Tehran is divided over whether or not to sign a comprehensive nuclear accord with the six world powers in Vienna as 22 agonizing months of negotiations falter on the brink. Supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was hardly helpful when he said publicly on Saturday, July 11: “The US is the true embodiment of global arrogance,” the fight against which “could not be interrupted” even after the completion of the nuclear talks. But President Rouhani, on the point of resigning on June 26, failed in an heated interview to talk him round.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 25, 2015
Supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei is keeping all parties, including his own capital, on tenterhooks until the last minute before June 30. Will the nuclear deal get signed? And if it is, how much will it cost?
DEBKAfile Special Report June 24, 2015
Uproar in Iran’s Revolutionary Guards: Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has relieved Gen. Qassem Soleimani, Al Qods Brigades chief and supreme commander of Iran's Middle East forces, of his Syria command after a string of fiascos. He remains in charge of Iran’s military and intelligence operations in Iraq, Yemen and Lebanon. This is revealed exclusively by debkafile. Tehran was shocked to find it was too stretched for troops and funds to uphold its commitments on four warfronts – Syria, Yemen, Iraq and Lebanon - without straining the reserves for combating a potential ISIS attack.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report June 18, 2015
The Revolutionary Guards chief Gen. Jafari convinced Khamenei that Qassem Soleimani as expert on subversion and terror was not the right general for multiple warfronts. He was vindicated by the setbacks in Syria and Iraq.
Two major Mid East escalations: Yemeni rebels fire Scuds at Saudi air base. ISIS warns Syrian rebels
DEBKAfile Special Report June 6, 2015
Riyadh reported Saturday, June 6, that Patriot batteries had intercepted Scud missiles fired by Yemen Houthi rebels at Khamis al-Mushait, the kingdom’s largest air base, from which Saudi jets take off to strike Yemeni rebels. debkafile’s military sources disclose that the Patriots, activated for the first time, were manned by American teams – the first direct US intervention on the Saudi side of the Yemen conflict. Khamenei’s statement on Iranian troops for Syria is awaited. ISIS meanwhile warns Syrian rebels in the south to break off contact with US-Jordanian and Israeli command centers.
DEBKAfile Special Report May 21, 2015
The fall of Damascus and Baghdad, or large slices thereof, to the rapacious Islamic State, is no longer the subject of strategic forecasts, but here and now. It is the price the region is paying for President Barack Obama’s single-minded obsession with détente with Tehran and a nuclear accord. Ramadi’s fall in Iraq and Palmyra’s in Syria proved ISIS’s ability to rock the Middle East to its foundations. Watching the threats closing in, Jerusalem, Amman and Riyadh grasp they may have to contend alone – not just with Iran but also with ISIS.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 14, 2015
The Iranian ship heading for Yemen was set on course to mess Obama’s summit conference wit5h Gulf rulers.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 7, 2015
Khamenei is all in favor of such incidents as the seizure of a commercial vessel by IRGC’s navy as it gives him levers of control and bargaining chips.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis April 12, 2015
The Obama administration is swinging between conflicting signals on the Iranian nuclear deal. In the face of tough conditions laid down by Tehran, the US president said in Panama Sunday, April 12: “Iran has it own politics and “hardliners” who need to be satisfied, but “there may be ways to structure the final nuclear deal that achieve core objectives while satisfying Iran’s pride.” Just Saturday, US Defense Secretary Ashton Carter said: “We have the capability to shut down, set back and destroy the Iranian nuclear program.” This confusion is useful fodder for Tehran.